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The dust has settled after the international break, and now it’s time to delve into the exciting Premier League matches that lie ahead.
12:30 – Wolves vs. Liverpool – Liverpool Favoured at 1.40
Wolves have had a tumultuous start to the season with two losses, one win, and a total of four goals scored. Hwang Lee-Chan has been the stand-out performer, netting twice. However, their last goal in the previous match seemed more like a late consolation as they were already losing by a significant margin. Interestingly, Wolves’ games have been low-scoring affairs, with three out of four matches being goalless at half-time. Their only clean sheet came against a struggling Everton side.
In contrast, Liverpool has shown great resilience, with a draw and three wins, even coming from behind in two of those victories. Liverpool’s matches tend to be more action-packed, with goals flowing before half-time in most cases. Both teams have consistently found the back of the net in Liverpool’s games, and their away record has been promising , one ending 1-1 and the other 1-2.
With Liverpool’s ability to bounce back and a penchant for early goals in their matches, it’s tough to see Wolves troubling them. However, Liverpool should be cautious of potential distractions as this game falls between the international break and their upcoming Europa League fixture. Liverpool to eye 2 goals at least. Their strikers tend to do their scoring. Team news key as Liverpool have tended to rest at least one prominent striker prior to European engagements.
15:00 – Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace – Aston Villa Expected at 1.91
Aston Villa has displayed a pattern of struggling against top-tier teams but dominating weaker opponents, as evident from their heavy defeats against Newcastle and Liverpool. In contrast, Crystal Palace had a slow start, struggling to find the net in their first three matches but suddenly bursting into life with three goals, all in the second half, against Wolves, thanks in part to Edouard’s brace. This fixture leaves us with a puzzle as both teams’ form is difficult to assess after just four games.
15:00 – Fulham vs. Luton – Fulham’s Favour at 1.67
Luton Town, newly promoted, seems to be finding life in the Premier League challenging. Fulham, on the other hand, has shown moments of promise, with a notable away win against Everton. Despite some shaky defensive performances, Fulham has managed to score in three out of four matches, with four different players finding the net. The expectation is that Luton Town will struggle to score, and if they do, getting a second goal could prove even more challenging. A suggestion therefore that Luton are to be layed in-play if they lead in this match.
15:00 – Man Utd vs. Brighton – Man Utd Slight Favorites at 2.15
Both Manchester United and Brighton are set to participate in European competitions, which adds an extra layer of complexity to this match-up. Manchester United has had mixed results, winning both home matches but losing both away games. On the other hand, Brighton’s games have consistently seen both teams score and feature a high goal tally. With European distractions looming, it’s possible that this game may not unfold as expected, and laying a bet on Manchester United if they hold a narrow lead late in the game could be a wise choice.
15:00 – Tottenham vs. Sheffield United – Tottenham Highly Favoured at 1.29
Tottenham, under new management, has enjoyed a strong start to the season with a draw and three wins. They’ve showcased an attacking flair, scoring nearly three goals per game. With seven different goal scorers and the recent resurgence of Son, they look formidable, especially when playing at home. In contrast, Sheffield United has struggled, losing three out of four games. While they managed to score twice in their last match, their defensive vulnerabilities persist. Tottenham should be expected to capitalize on this fixture with home advantage. I expect 2 goals at least from Tottenham today.
15:00 – West Ham vs. Manchester City – Manchester City Expected to Win at 1.45
Manchester City has cruised to four consecutive wins, including away victories against two newly promoted sides. West Ham, on the other hand, has displayed a strong start to the season with a draw and three wins. Their matches have consistently seen both teams score, which could make this game more competitive than anticipated, especially with the unique context of post-international fatigue and pre-European club competition. Monitoring this game in-play for potential vulnerabilities in Manchester City’s performance may be a wise strategy. This does look like more of a test for Man City than the pre-match odds of 1.45 suggest. Man City are layable if leading today ( I wait for this entry to secure even shorter odds /lower liability).
17:30 – Newcastle vs. Brentford – Newcastle Slightly Favoured at 1.53
Newcastle United faces the distraction of an upcoming Champions League visit to AC Milan on September 19th. Their performance today is likely to be affected, either consciously or subconsciously. After a resounding 5-1 victory against Aston Villa, Newcastle faced a tough fixture list, including defeats to Manchester City and Liverpool. Their matches have seen early goals, and both teams have consistently scored. Brentford, while unbeaten this season, has primarily secured score draws, all of which came at home. With both teams showing a propensity to concede goals, the outcome remains uncertain. Laying a bet on Newcastle if they lead by an early goal around the 70th minute might be a viable strategy, the reasoning being the potential distraction of the upcoming match with AC Milan.
Sunday, September 17
14:00 – Bournemouth vs. Chelsea – Chelsea Expected to Win at 1.75
Bournemouth has struggled to find the net, and Chelsea’s form has been inconsistent. Both teams have faced challenges in scoring goals and have conceded. This uncertainty makes it difficult to predict the outcome, but it might be safer to consider laying a bet on Bournemouth if they lead, given their recent struggles in attack.
16:30 – Everton vs. Arsenal – Arsenal Favoured at 1.50
Arsenal faces Champions League commitments on September 20th, which could potentially distract them. Everton, though struggling in recent matches, can be a resolute side. Arsenal has shown a tendency to score in the second half, a factor that Everton should be aware of. While Arsenal is the stronger team, the unique context of this weekend suggests that they might be more vulnerable than usual if distracted by the upcoming European fixture. The lack of Everton goals at home suggests that the Toffees lack the fire-power to counter a possibly Champions League distracted Arsenal.
Monday, September 18
19:45 – Nottingham Forest vs. Burnley – Nottingham Forest Slight Favourites at 2.20
Newly promoted Burnley embarks on their first away match, having suffered three home defeats. Despite this, the odds slightly favour them, indicating that the market doesn’t discount Burnley. Burnley has had a tough time defensively, conceding at least two goals before half-time in all three matches. Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, secured an impressive away win against Chelsea and won their only home match. With Awoniyi leading the attack and a recent clean sheet, Nottingham Forest might have the edge. If Burnley scores, they may find it challenging to secure a victory.
This weekend’s Premier League fixtures offer a blend of challenges, with teams balancing post-international break fatigue and pre-European club competition. Keep an eye on short-priced favourites like Man City, Newcastle, and Arsenal, as late-game developments could create betting opportunities.
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