Saturday 15th February 2025 www.footballtradingprofits.com Free Premier League Research and Over 2.5 goals stats.

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Over 2.5 goals.

Total season long :Leicester ; Arsenal – 46% ; Aston Villa – 67% ; Ipswich -50% ; Fulham – 54% ; Nottm Forest- 50% ; Man City – 75% ; Newcastle – 62% ; Southampton – 58% ; Bournemouth – 54% ; West Ham – 58% ; Brentford – 71% ; Crystal Palace – 42% ; Everton – 42%

Last 8 matches :Leicester – 62% ; Arsenal – 62% ; Aston Villa – 62% ; Ipswich – 62% ; Fulham – 62% ; Nottm Forest – 50% ; Man City – 75% ; Newcastle – 88%; Southampton – 75% ; Bournemouth – 62% ; West Ham – 50% ; Brentford – 50% ; Crystal Palace – 38% ; Everton – 38%

Home team’s home stats:Leicester – 50% ; Aston Villa – 58% ; Fulham – 67% ; Man City – 82% ; Southampton – 64% ; West Ham – 75%; Crystal Palace – 42%

Away team’s away stats:Arsenal – 33% ; Ipswich – 64% ; Nottm Forest – 58% ; Newcastle – 67% ; Bournemouth – 75% ; Brentford – 73%; Everton – 27%

Aston Villa, Man City and Brentford are the season long sides ; Man City, Newcastle, Southampton the momentum overs teams ; Fulham, Man City, West Ham at home ; Newcastle, Bournemouth, Brentford away.

Man City the standout. Brentford next best.

English Premier League
12:30 – Leicester v Arsenal – 1.28 Arsenal

• Arsenal will look to extend their unbeaten run to 15 Premier League matches when they travel to the King Power Stadium to face relegation-threatened Leicester City on Saturday. The Gunners come into this fixture riding high after a commanding 5-1 victory over Manchester City, which strengthened their grip on second place in the table. With 50 points from 24 matches, Mikel Arteta’s men remain six points behind league leaders Liverpool and nine clear of Manchester City in fifth, reinforcing their strong Champions League qualification hopes.
• For Leicester, the picture is far less optimistic. The Foxes languish in 18th place with 17 points, two adrift of safety, and their recent form has been dismal. A crushing 4-0 defeat to Everton in their last outing marked their fifth defeat in six league matches, and they are in real danger of becoming entrenched in the relegation zone. Their record against Arsenal offers little hope, with six consecutive defeats in this fixture since 2021, during which they have conceded 16 goals and scored just five.
• Recent Form & Head-to-Head
• Arsenal have been in imperious form, going unbeaten in their last 14 league matches (W9, D5), their longest such streak since the 2010/11 campaign. Their last away defeat in the Premier League came in November 2024 against Newcastle, and they have since collected 22 points from a possible 36 on the road. Conversely, Leicester have struggled at home, suffering four successive league defeats without scoring. Another failure to find the net here would see them become only the fourth team in top-flight history to lose five consecutive home matches without scoring in a single season.
• Arsenal won the reverse fixture 4-2 at the Emirates, with Gabriel Martinelli, Leandro Trossard, and Kai Havertz among the scorers. Leicester’s James Justin managed a brace in that encounter, but it wasn’t enough to prevent another loss.
• Key Players to Watch
• Kai Havertz (Arsenal) – The German forward has found his stride, netting nine goals this season, including three openers. His ability to break defensive lines could prove decisive against Leicester’s struggling backline.
• Jamie Vardy (Leicester) – The veteran striker leads the Foxes with seven goals, two of which have been the opening strike in a match. His record against Arsenal is strong, with 11 career Premier League goals against them – only Harry Kane (14) and Wayne Rooney (12) have more.
• Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal) – Arsenal’s creative maestro has a knack for scoring important goals, as seen in his opener against Burnley last season and his recent strike against Manchester City.
• Tactical Overview & Match Expectations
• Leicester’s defensive frailties have been glaring, having conceded at least two goals in eight of their last nine home matches. Meanwhile, Arsenal’s attacking prowess has remained consistent, scoring in each of their last eight matches and in 10 of their 12 away fixtures this season. Arteta’s men are expected to control possession and exploit Leicester’s vulnerabilities, particularly given the Foxes have conceded the opening goal in 19 of their 24 league games.
• The visitors will also look to capitalize on Leicester’s inability to hold leads; the Foxes have been trailing at halftime in 14 of their 24 matches this season. If Arsenal score early, they could dictate the pace and cruise to victory.
• Key Stats
• Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 14 Premier League matches (W9, D5).
• Leicester have lost four consecutive home league matches without scoring.
• Leicester have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last nine home matches.
• Leicester have lost 10 of 11 league games against teams starting the round ninth or higher.
• Arsenal have scored in each of their last eight matches and 10 of their 12 away fixtures.
• Leicester have failed to win in their last five home matches.
• Arsenal have won 21 of their last 25 league matches against teams in the relegation zone (D3, L1).
• Betting Insights & Predictions
• Over 2.5 Goals? Yes – Leicester’s defensive struggles, combined with Arsenal’s firepower, suggest a high-scoring affair. 71% of Leicester’s matches this season have featured over 2.5 goals, and Arsenal are consistently finding the net.
• Both Teams to Score? Yes – Despite Leicester’s struggles, they have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches and 7 of their 11 defeats against top-nine teams this season. Arsenal’s defense has not been watertight away from home.
• Goal Before Halftime? Yes – Arsenal have scored early in many of their recent fixtures, and Leicester have conceded first in 19 of 24 matches this season. A fast start from the visitors seems highly likely.
• Final Verdict
• Leicester’s form, combined with Arsenal’s dominance in this fixture, makes an away win the most probable outcome. The Foxes will be desperate to end their poor run, but Arsenal’s attacking quality and tactical discipline should see them extend their unbeaten run to 15 matches with a convincing victory at the King Power Stadium.

15:00 – Aston Villa v Ipswich – 1.44 Aston Villa

• Aston Villa will look to reignite their push for a Premier League top-four finish as they welcome struggling Ipswich Town to Villa Park. Fresh from securing a place in the FA Cup fifth round for the first time since 2015 with a 2-1 victory over Tottenham, Unai Emery’s side now shifts focus back to league matters. A three-match winless run in the Premier League (D2, L1) has left them with a six-point gap to bridge, but they enter this clash as strong favourites.
• Villa’s dominance at home has been a key feature of their season. They are currently unbeaten in 11 straight Premier League home matches (W6, D5), with their only Villa Park defeat this season coming against Arsenal back in August. History is also on their side, having suffered just one loss in their last 14 top-flight encounters with Ipswich (W10, D3). However, they were recently caught off guard by relegation-threatened Wolves (L 2-0), ending an impressive 19-game unbeaten streak against bottom-three sides.
• Ipswich, meanwhile, took solace in their FA Cup campaign, cruising past Coventry 4-1 to break a dismal four-match losing streak in the league. Their recent Premier League form, however, makes for grim reading, with their latest setback coming in a loss to basement side Southampton, leaving them three points adrift of safety.
• Despite their struggles, Ipswich have shown resilience on the road, securing nine of their 16 total points away from home. They have only suffered back-to-back away defeats once this season, offering a glimmer of hope. However, their record at Villa Park paints a concerning picture, with ten losses in their last 12 league visits (W2), signaling another uphill challenge.
• Key Players to Watch
• Marcus Rashford (Aston Villa) – The former Manchester United forward has scored all four of his league goals against teams starting the day in 15th or lower, including a goal against Ipswich earlier this season.
• Jack Clarke (Ipswich Town) – Though Clarke has struggled for starts in the league since December, he reminded fans of his quality in the FA Cup, registering two goals and an assist against Coventry.
• Key Stats
• Aston Villa have won four of their last six home meetings against Ipswich by a 2-1 scoreline.
• Ipswich Town have lost their last four Premier League matches.
• Ipswich have conceded in 12 of their 13 home league matches and in 10 of their 11 away matches.
• Villa have been undefeated in their last 11 Premier League home games.
• Ipswich have conceded two or more goals in each of their last five matches.
• 67% of Aston Villa’s matches this season have seen over 2.5 goals.
• 32% of Aston Villa’s conceded goals have occurred after the 75th minute.
• Ipswich Town have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
• Betting Predictions
• Over 2.5 Goals: YES – Given that 67% of Villa’s matches this season have featured over 2.5 goals and Ipswich’s recent defensive struggles, this looks a strong bet.
• Both Teams to Score: YES – Despite their losses, Ipswich have managed to score in eight of their 11 away games, and with Villa conceding in 10 of 12 home matches, goals at both ends seem likely.
• Goal Before Halftime: YES – Ipswich have scored 64% of their goals in the first half, and Villa’s attacking prowess at home suggests an early breakthrough is probable.
• Match Verdict
• With Villa looking to keep their Champions League hopes alive and Ipswich fighting to avoid a deeper relegation battle, this clash has all the ingredients for an action-packed encounter. While Villa’s home form should see them through, Ipswich’s tendency to find the net suggests it won’t be a straightforward win. Expect an entertaining contest with goals on both sides, but Villa should have enough firepower to take all three points.

15:00 – Fulham v Nottingham Forest – 2.20 Fulham

• Fulham continue to build momentum after securing their place in the FA Cup fifth round with a 2-1 victory over League One side Wigan. That success followed a crucial 2-1 Premier League win at Newcastle, pushing Marco Silva’s side up to ninth place and keeping their European football ambitions alive. Now, they turn their attention to a Nottingham Forest side that has also been exceeding expectations this season.
• Recent Form & Head-to-Head Record Fulham boast a strong recent record against Forest, winning four of their last five Premier League encounters (L1). Historically, the Cottagers have dominated this fixture, triumphing in nine of the last 12 league meetings (L3). However, they will need to improve their home form, having failed to win any of their last five Premier League matches at Craven Cottage.
• Nottingham Forest enter this clash on a high after a historic 7-0 demolition of Brighton, their biggest league victory since April 1991. That result kept them firmly in the race for a Champions League spot, with Steve Cooper’s men sitting third in the table. They have been in formidable form, winning eight of their last ten Premier League matches (D1, L1). Another win here would see Forest reach 50 points, a milestone that would be remarkable given their struggles in previous top-flight campaigns.
• Key Players to Watch
• Raúl Jiménez (Fulham): The Mexican striker has been a key figure for Fulham, netting eight of his 11 goals at home this season. He also has an impressive record against Forest, scoring four times in three previous meetings.
• Chris Wood (Nottingham Forest): Only Mohamed Salah (21) and Erling Haaland (19) have outscored Wood’s 17 Premier League goals this season. Nine of his goals have been the opening strike in matches, highlighting his importance in setting the tone for Forest.
• Key Stats:
• Fulham’s home struggles: The Cottagers have failed to win in their last five home matches.
• Fulham’s attacking consistency: They have scored in 11 of their 12 away league matches and netted at least two goals in each of their last five road games.
• Forest’s defensive stability: Matches involving Nottingham Forest have seen both teams score only ten times, the second-lowest in the league behind Everton.
• Fast starts for Forest: They have opened the scoring in 19 of their 24 league games this season.
• Late goals for Fulham: 36% of Fulham’s goals have come after the 75th minute.
• Betting Predictions & Analysis
• Over 2.5 Goals: Likely – Fulham have been involved in high-scoring matches on the road, and Forest’s attacking form is excellent.
• Both Teams to Score: Unlikely – Forest have been solid defensively, with only ten of their league games seeing both teams score.
• Goal Before Halftime: Likely – Forest have been fast starters, frequently netting early, while Fulham have shown attacking intent.
• With both teams pushing for European football, this promises to be an intense battle. Fulham’s home form is a concern, but their attacking quality remains strong. Meanwhile, Forest’s defensive discipline and clinical finishing could give them the edge in a crucial Premier League clash.

15:00 – Man City v Newcastle – 1.85 Man City

• It was a disappointing midweek outing for Manchester City as they squandered a lead to lose 3-2 against Real Madrid in their UEFA Champions League play-off tie. That defeat marked their third loss in six matches (W3), highlighting an uncharacteristic inconsistency under Pep Guardiola. With Newcastle United arriving level on points, City will need to rediscover their rhythm to maintain their top-four standing.
• Fortunately for the hosts, their dominance over Newcastle at the Etihad Stadium has been absolute. The Citizens have won each of their last 15 home league encounters against the Magpies, a feat that stands among the longest such streaks in English top-flight history. More impressively, City have kept clean sheets in their last six competitive home victories against Newcastle, a record that could offer Guardiola’s men some much-needed confidence after failing to keep an opponent out in their last six matches.
• Newcastle, however, are no strangers to defying history. Despite their struggles at the Etihad, Eddie Howe’s men enter this clash in fine form, having lost only twice in their last 14 matches across all competitions (W12). However, both of those defeats have come within their last five Premier League games, raising questions about whether their momentum is fading at a crucial juncture.
• One area where Newcastle have excelled is their away form. The Magpies have been an unstoppable force on their travels, winning their last six away matches across all competitions. Their four consecutive away victories in the Premier League put them on the brink of a historic milestone—winning five straight away league games for only the second time ever, and the first since October 1993.
• Players to Watch
• Savinho (Manchester City): The Brazilian has been a creative force this season, providing six Premier League assists—five of which have been for Erling Haaland. His ability to unlock defences will be key.
• Jacob Murphy (Newcastle United): Murphy has been Newcastle’s primary provider, setting up six goals for Alexander Isak, forming the league’s most effective attacking partnership alongside City’s own duo.
• Key Stats:
• Manchester City have conceded in nine of their 11 home league matches this season.
• 75% of City’s league games have produced over 2.5 goals.
• The Citizens have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
• 26% of City’s conceded goals have come in the first 15 minutes, while 31% have been after the 75th minute.
• Newcastle have scored in their last 12 consecutive matches.
• The Magpies have found the net in 11 of their 12 away league games this season.
• Newcastle have won their last four Premier League away games and remain unbeaten in their last eight road trips in all competitions.
• Newcastle have scored at least twice in each of their last five away league games.
• Betting Insights:
• Over 2.5 goals: Highly likely. Both teams are among the Premier League’s highest-scoring sides, and City’s home matches have consistently seen high goal counts.
• Both teams to score (BTTS): Very probable. Newcastle’s attacking form on the road, combined with City’s defensive vulnerabilities, makes this a strong bet.
• Goal before halftime: Likely. Both teams have shown a tendency to score early, and with City conceding frequently in the first 15 minutes, an early goal is on the cards.
• This encounter promises fireworks, with City looking to maintain their dominance over Newcastle while the Magpies aim to shatter history with another big away performance.

15:00 – Southampton v Bournemouth – 1.57 Bournemouth

• With just 14 games remaining and a daunting ten-point gap to safety, Southampton’s survival hopes look increasingly bleak. Their struggles were compounded last weekend with an FA Cup exit at the hands of Championship side Burnley, further highlighting what has been a disastrous campaign. Only Derby County’s infamous 2007/08 side, which holds the record for the lowest Premier League points total, has had a worse tally than Southampton’s current nine points from 24 matches.
• Things don’t get any easier as they return to St Mary’s, where they’ve suffered six consecutive league defeats. However, a glimmer of hope comes from their most recent Premier League outing – a 2-1 victory over Ipswich, marking their first league win in 11 matches. If they can somehow secure back-to-back top-flight wins, it would be the first time since February 2022 that Southampton have managed such a feat.
• Bournemouth, meanwhile, are enjoying a remarkable season and pushing for an unprecedented European qualification. The Cherries have been the superior side in recent south-coast encounters, winning the last two H2H clashes, though their all-time Premier League record at St Mary’s remains evenly split (W2, D2, L2).
• The visitors have been formidable on their travels, currently riding a six-match unbeaten away streak in the league (W4, D2) – their longest such run in Premier League history. Furthermore, against sides positioned 13th or lower, Bournemouth have been dominant, winning seven of nine such encounters this season (D1, L1).
• Players to Watch:
• Paul Onuachu (Southampton) – The towering striker netted the late winner against Ipswich, with both of his Premier League goals this season coming after the 85th minute.
• Antoine Semenyo (Bournemouth) – A consistent threat on the road, Semenyo has been directly involved in a goal (2G, 2A) in each of his last four Premier League away matches.
• Key Stats:
• Southampton have conceded a league-high average of 1.27 first-half goals per home match this season.
• Southampton have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven matches.
• Southampton have lost 19 of their 24 league matches so far.
• Bournemouth have conceded in 11 of their 12 away matches this season.
• Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last six Premier League away games.
• Bournemouth have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
• The Cherries have netted two or more goals in each of their last seven away matches.
• Betting Insights:
• Over 2.5 Goals? ? Yes – Bournemouth’s attacking form, combined with Southampton’s defensive vulnerabilities, makes this highly likely. The Cherries have seen 2+ goals in seven consecutive away games, while Southampton have conceded heavily all season.
• Both Teams to Score? ? Yes – Southampton have struggled defensively, but they’ve also found the net in three of their last four games, including against Ipswich. Bournemouth’s tendency to concede at least once away (11/12 games) further strengthens this bet.
• Goal Before Halftime? ? Yes – Southampton’s defensive frailties in the first half (conceding a league-high 1.27 first-half goals per home match) make this a strong possibility. Bournemouth’s fast-paced attack could exploit this early on.
• Prediction:
• Bournemouth’s away form, coupled with Southampton’s defensive struggles, suggests the visitors will have the upper hand. Expect an open contest, with goals at both ends and Bournemouth emerging victorious in their push for European football.
• Predicted Score: Southampton 1-3 Bournemouth

15:00 – West Ham v Brentford – 2.40 West Ham

• West Ham’s turbulent season continues to unfold, with Graham Potter still searching for consistency after a rocky start in charge. The Hammers have won just once in their last seven outings (D1, L5), a worrying trend that has seen them struggle for momentum. Despite their poor run of form, a ten-point cushion above the relegation zone offers Potter some breathing space as he looks to implement his ideas. A return to the London Stadium could be the boost they need, especially given their only win under Potter came at home in a 3-2 victory over Fulham. Encouragingly, Potter has never lost to Brentford in his managerial career (W5, D1), with his teams recording clean sheets in the last four of those encounters.
• West Ham must remain cautious, though, as Brentford have been revitalized on the road. After enduring a nine-match winless streak away from home in the league (D2, L7), Thomas Frank’s side has now secured consecutive away victories. The Bees now have the opportunity to make history by winning three successive Premier League away games for the first time ever. Their confidence may have taken a slight hit after a 2-0 home defeat to Tottenham in the last round, but their impressive scoring record against West Ham should offer encouragement. Brentford have found the net in all seven of their previous Premier League meetings with the Hammers—the most they have played against a single opponent while scoring in every encounter.
• Recent London derby records suggest a closely contested affair, with both sides averaging just a single point per game in capital clashes since the start of last season. Given their inconsistent defensive performances, both teams will be eager to secure a vital win in their pursuit of stability.
• Players to Watch:
• Jarrod Bowen (West Ham) – The winger netted his 49th Premier League goal in the defeat to Chelsea, meaning he is just one strike away from becoming only the second West Ham player to reach 50 league goals after Michail Antonio.
• Kevin Schade (Brentford) – Found the net in his last away appearance, extending his unbeaten streak when scoring to 13 matches (W11, D2).
• Key Stats:
• Each of West Ham’s last seven matches have featured a goal beyond the 70th minute.
• West Ham have conceded in 11 of their 12 home matches this season.
• The Hammers have scored in 11 of their 12 away games, finding the net in their last seven on the road.
• Brentford have conceded at least one goal in all 13 of their home matches.
• Brentford have scored in 8 of their 11 away league fixtures.
• The Bees have failed to win any of their last five home matches.
• Brentford have let in two or more goals in each of their last six home games.
• Betting Insights:
• Over 2.5 Goals: Yes – With both sides struggling to keep clean sheets, and Brentford’s recent away form producing goals, this fixture has strong potential to exceed the 2.5-goal mark.
• Both Teams to Score: Yes – West Ham’s defensive frailties and Brentford’s impressive scoring record in H2Hs suggest both teams will find the net.
• Goal Before Halftime: Yes – West Ham’s last seven matches have all featured late goals, but their defensive vulnerabilities and Brentford’s attacking threat increase the likelihood of an early breakthrough.