Premier League research 6th April 2025

• Review/Preview : https://youtu.be/4D3Chxk831w
• Live: Please leave a comment below the review/preview video if you want a livestream. Busy day with the additions of Norway and Sweden,

ENGLAND: Premier League

14:00 – Brentford v Chelsea – 2.10 Chelsea

• Match Preview: Brentford vs Chelsea – Premier League
• Brentford will host Chelsea at the Gtech Community Stadium on Sunday, as both teams look to secure vital points for their respective goals this season. Chelsea are pushing for a Champions League spot, sitting in 4th place with 52 points, while Brentford are mid-table in 11th with 41 points, hoping to finish the season strong. The two teams have contrasting recent form, which sets the stage for an exciting clash.
• Brentford’s Form and Objectives: Brentford have been inconsistent at home, failing to win their last seven Premier League games at the Gtech Community Stadium, but they have managed to score in each of their last six away matches. Their home form is highlighted by a combination of victories and draws, with their last win coming in December 2024 against Nottingham Forest. Despite their struggles at home, they remain a potent attacking force, with Bryan Mbeumo’s goal-scoring form keeping them competitive. The Bees have scored 51 goals this season but also conceded 47, highlighting their vulnerability at the back.
• Chelsea’s Objectives and Recent Results: Chelsea, on the other hand, are in the thick of the race for a Champions League place, with their 1-0 victory over Tottenham Hotspur in their last match helping them stay in the top four. However, their away form has been a source of concern, as they are currently on a seven-match winless streak on the road. Despite this, they have been solid in attack, with Cole Palmer leading the charge with 14 goals. The Blues will be eager to continue their strong form at home, but they must address their struggles away from Stamford Bridge.
• Key Stats:
• Brentford:
  • Have scored in each of their last six away matches.
  • Conceded at least one goal in all 15 home matches this season.
  • Failed to win their last seven home matches.
  • Mbeumo has scored in 43% of Premier League games this season, with seven of those goals being match-openers.
  • 92% of their wins this season have seen over 3 goals.
• Chelsea:
  • Scored in 14 of their 15 home matches this season.
  • Scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
  • Won their last five home matches.
  • On a four-match losing streak away from home.
  • 83% of their away victories this season had more than 2.5 goals.
• Head-to-Head: In their last meeting, Chelsea won 2-1 at Stamford Bridge, with Mbeumo scoring a late goal for Brentford. Chelsea have generally had the upper hand in recent encounters, winning six out of their last 10 meetings in all competitions.
• Conclusions and Predictions:
• Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
  Given the attacking strengths of both teams and their defensive weaknesses, this match is highly likely to see over 2.5 goals. Brentford’s propensity to concede at home, combined with Chelsea’s need to improve their away form, makes this a prime candidate for a high-scoring game.
  Prediction: Over 2.5 goals (1.533)
• Both Teams to Score (BTTS):
  Brentford have been reliable in finding the back of the net, especially at home, and Chelsea have scored in nearly every away match this season. With both teams having defensive frailties, it’s hard to imagine a scenario where one side doesn’t score.
  Prediction: Yes (BTTS)
• Goal Before Halftime:
  Both teams have the tendency to score early. While Brentford’s home matches often see goals after the break, Chelsea’s away matches have been more dynamic in the first half. There’s a reasonable expectation that one of these teams will strike before halftime.
  Prediction: Yes (Goal Before Halftime)
• Key Players to Watch:
• Bryan Mbeumo (Brentford) – The Bees’ leading scorer, Mbeumo is a constant threat. His form in front of goal will be crucial for Brentford’s chances.
• Cole Palmer (Chelsea) – Chelsea’s top scorer, Palmer’s presence will be essential to breaking down Brentford’s defense.
• Thiago Silva (Chelsea) – With Brentford’s aerial threat and Chelsea’s defensive frailties on the road, Silva’s leadership will be key in keeping Mbeumo and the Brentford attack at bay.
• Final Thoughts: This match is likely to be a thrilling encounter with plenty of attacking play. Chelsea will aim to bounce back from their away struggles, while Brentford will look to turn their home form around and challenge for a top-half finish. Both teams have the tools to score, and the game promises to feature plenty of goals.
• Betting Tips:
• Over 2.5 Goals: Strong potential for a high-scoring game given the attacking play from both teams.
• Both Teams to Score: Both sides have been prolific in attack, with weaknesses at the back.
• Goal Before Halftime: Given the attacking play, a goal before halftime is likely.
• Enjoy the match!

14:00 – Fulham v Liverpool – 1.80 Liverpool

• Match Preview: Fulham vs Liverpool – Premier League
• Fulham’s promising run at the beginning of February has given way to a dip in form as they head into this crucial match against league leaders Liverpool. After winning five of their six games in February, Fulham now find themselves in a rut, having exited the FA Cup and lost two of their last three Premier League fixtures, including a tough 2-1 loss to Arsenal midweek. Sitting in ninth place, Fulham are not in danger of relegation but seem to be slipping further from a European spot, as another season of mid-table mediocrity becomes a likely scenario. Still, Marco Silva will aim to secure a second consecutive top-half finish, a target that remains within reach, but their woeful record against the league’s top teams will be a concern.
• Liverpool, on the other hand, are flying high. A 100th Merseyside derby victory over Everton saw them extend their lead at the top of the table, with a 12-point cushion over second-placed Arsenal. With their eyes firmly set on clinching the title, Liverpool are now just a few wins away from securing their 20th English top-flight title. Jurgen Klopp’s men have been nearly flawless on the road and will be confident heading into this clash, aiming to continue their impressive record against Fulham.
• Fulham’s Form and Objectives: Fulham’s recent form has been a mix of good and bad. Their early-season success has given way to inconsistency, with the loss to Arsenal a painful reminder of the gulf between them and the top-tier teams. Their record against clubs at the top of the table is also concerning, with Fulham failing to win in their last 11 Premier League meetings with teams starting the day in first place. Still, they have been potent in attack, scoring in 14 of their last 15 away matches and possessing a knack for scoring late, with 36% of their goals coming after the 75th minute.
• Liverpool’s Form and Title Push: Liverpool’s form has been near-perfect, particularly in their away matches, where they are undefeated in their last 15. Jurgen Klopp’s men have been relentless, scoring in every match this season, including a remarkable run of scoring two or more goals in their last five away games. Their defense has also held firm, and their 2-1 win against Everton was another testament to their resilience. With the title nearly within reach, Liverpool are intent on keeping their focus sharp and avoiding complacency, especially as they chase that record-equalling 20th league title.
• Key Stats:
• Fulham:
  • Winless in their last 11 Premier League meetings against teams starting in first place (D1, L10).
  • Conceded at least one goal in 13 of their 15 home matches.
  • Scored in 14 of their 15 away games this season.
  • 36% of their goals have come after the 75th minute.
• Liverpool:
  • Won 22 of their 30 league matches this season.
  • Won 10 of their 15 away matches.
  • Undefeated in their last 26 matches.
  • Scored in each of their last 26 matches.
  • Scored 2 or more goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
• Head-to-Head:
  • Both teams have scored in 9 of the last 10 encounters at Craven Cottage.
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 15 Premier League meetings with Fulham (W10, D4, L1).
• Conclusions and Predictions:
• Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
  Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently. Liverpool’s potent attack, combined with Fulham’s ability to score, especially late in games, suggests this match will see plenty of goals. Liverpool’s tendency to score multiple goals on the road and Fulham’s leaky defense point toward a match with over 2.5 goals.
  Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
• Both Teams to Score (BTTS):
  With Fulham’s consistent ability to find the back of the net, even against top opposition, and Liverpool’s impressive attacking form, it’s highly probable both teams will score in this encounter. Both sides have shown a vulnerability in defense, and Fulham’s record of scoring in nearly every away match makes them likely to get on the scoresheet here.
  Prediction: Yes (BTTS)
• Goal Before Halftime:
  Fulham tend to score late, with a significant percentage of their goals coming in the second half, but Liverpool’s attacking quality means they’re likely to strike early, especially given their recent tendency to score multiple goals in away matches. This suggests there is a good chance of a goal before halftime.
  Prediction: Yes (Goal Before Halftime)
• Key Players to Watch:
• Rodrigo Muniz (Fulham): Muniz has proven to be a big-game player, scoring against top sides such as City, Chelsea, Arsenal, and Liverpool. His threat in the later stages of the game could be crucial for Fulham.
• Diogo Jota (Liverpool): Jota continues to impress, scoring key goals and maintaining an incredible record of avoiding defeat in nearly all of his goalscoring appearances. His knack for scoring crucial goals could make the difference.
• Mohamed Salah (Liverpool): Always a danger in front of goal, Salah’s pace and clinical finishing could expose Fulham’s defensive vulnerabilities.
• Final Thoughts: Liverpool are firm favorites in this match, but Fulham have shown resilience and attacking prowess this season, particularly on the road. The Reds’ form and depth make them the stronger side, but Fulham’s ability to score late could make this an exciting, high-scoring affair. Both teams are likely to find the back of the net, and with plenty of attacking talent on display, we expect a thrilling encounter.
• Betting Tips:
• Over 2.5 Goals: Liverpool’s offensive power and Fulham’s attacking threat should make for a high-scoring match.
• Both Teams to Score: Both sides have been scoring consistently, with Liverpool’s defense showing occasional vulnerabilities.
• Goal Before Halftime: Liverpool’s fast start to games, combined with Fulham’s later goals, suggests an early strike is likely.
• Enjoy the match!

14:00 – Tottenham v Southampton – 1.42 Tottenham

• Match Preview: Tottenham Hotspur vs Southampton
• Tottenham Hotspur welcomes struggling Southampton to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium for a clash that could see Spurs attempt to end their winless streak at home. With a spot in next season’s Premier League secured, Spurs will be looking to finish the season strong despite a recent run of disappointing results. On the other hand, Southampton’s hopes of avoiding relegation seem increasingly slim, as they sit 19 points adrift of safety with only eight matches remaining.
• Tottenham Hotspur’s Form:
• Tottenham’s current form has been far from convincing, especially in recent weeks. A loss to Chelsea in their last league match stretched their winless run to four games, with just one victory in their last five Premier League encounters. Spurs have been inconsistent at home, winning only one of their last five league games at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. However, they have historically dominated Southampton, winning eight of their last ten meetings at home, including a resounding 5-0 victory at St. Mary’s earlier this season.
• Southampton’s Struggles:
• Southampton, firmly entrenched at the bottom of the Premier League table, have endured a dismal season. They managed only a 1-1 draw against Crystal Palace in their last outing, extending their winless run to six matches. On the road, the Saints have been poor, winning just one of their 15 away matches this season. Their defense has been their Achilles’ heel, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last 11 matches, and conceding at least one goal in 14 of their 15 away games.
• Key Players:
• Tottenham Hotspur: James Maddison, who has been in scintillating form with nine goals this season, leads the Spurs charge. Alongside him, Son Heung-Min and Brennan Johnson will provide plenty of attacking firepower.
• Southampton: The Saints will rely on Paul Onuachu and Joe Aribo to provide a spark in attack, but with the team’s form so poor, they will need to improve significantly to challenge Spurs’ defense.
• Recent Head-to-Head:
• In their most recent encounter, Tottenham trounced Southampton 5-0 in December, with James Maddison scoring a brace and Son Heung-Min adding to the scoreline. Spurs have been dominant in recent years, unbeaten in their last three meetings with Southampton, and have outscored them 12-4 in the process.
• Key Stats:
• Tottenham Hotspur:
  • Won 8 of their last 10 home games vs Southampton.
  • Scored 5 goals in their last home game vs Southampton.
  • Lost 3 of their last 5 home games.
• Southampton:
  • Have lost 12 of their last 15 away matches.
  • Failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 11 games.
  • Scored in 14 of their last 15 away matches.
• General Stats:
  • Tottenham have conceded at least one goal in 13 of their 15 home matches.
  • Southampton have failed to win any of their last 7 matches.
  • There have been at least 3 goals in 5 of the last 6 games involving Southampton away from home.
  • Both teams have scored in 9 of the last 10 encounters at Tottenham’s home ground.
• Betting Analysis & Predictions:
• Over 2.5 Goals: With both teams struggling defensively, particularly Southampton, who have conceded in 14 of their 15 away matches, it seems likely that this match will see over 2.5 goals. Tottenham, who have been involved in high-scoring games lately, will be expected to contribute heavily to the goal count. Verdict: Over 2.5 goals.
• Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Southampton’s poor defensive form and Tottenham’s recent home defensive struggles suggest that both teams could find the net. However, given the attacking quality of Spurs and the Saints’ tendency to leak goals, this is a strong possibility. Verdict: Yes, both teams to score.
• First Half Goal: Southampton has seen first-half goals in 83% of their Premier League matches this season, and with Tottenham’s attacking quality, it’s likely we’ll see a goal before the break. Verdict: Yes, at least one first-half goal.
• Conclusion:
• Tottenham will be favored to win this match, given Southampton’s dreadful form, especially away from home. However, with both sides struggling defensively, a high-scoring game looks probable, making the over 2.5 goals and both teams to score markets attractive. Tottenham should take control early, but Southampton will likely find the net, as they have in 14 of their last 15 away games.
• Key Stats Summary:
• Tottenham have won 8 of their last 10 home matches vs Southampton.
• Southampton have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
• Tottenham have scored in each of their last 5 home matches vs Southampton.
• Southampton have conceded at least 1 goal in 14 of their 15 away matches this season.
• Tottenham have won just 1 of their last 5 home Premier League games.
• With both teams likely to score and Tottenham expected to dominate, a Tottenham victory, with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, seems to be the most probable outcome.

16:30 – Manchester Utd v Manchester City – 2.05 Manchester City

• Match Preview: Manchester United vs Manchester City
• The Manchester derby heads to Old Trafford this Sunday, with both teams facing crucial fixtures in their respective campaigns. Manchester United, sitting mid-table, are in need of a strong finish to push for European qualification. Meanwhile, Manchester City, aiming to secure their spot in next season’s Champions League, will look to close the gap on the top of the table.
• Manchester United’s Current Form:
• Manchester United have struggled at home this season, with only one win from their last five matches against Manchester City. They’ve conceded at least one goal in 12 of their 15 home games, which highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. Additionally, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight home encounters, further emphasizing their troubles at Old Trafford. Despite these struggles, United has shown resilience in scoring late, with 35% of their goals coming after the 75th minute. Bruno Fernandes, who has been the standout performer, has netted in each of his last three home appearances, and his contribution will be crucial for the Red Devils.
• Manchester City’s Current Form:
• Manchester City have been solid this season, sitting fourth with 51 points, and with a slight advantage over fifth-placed Newcastle. However, their away form has been inconsistent, with six wins, three draws, and six losses in their 15 matches on the road. Despite this, they have managed to score in 13 of their 15 away games, and their overall attacking prowess is led by Erling Haaland, who has scored 21 goals this season, including seven match-opening goals. Manchester City has managed to find the back of the net in their last 12 league games, and they will look to continue that run in this high-stakes derby.
• Key Players:
• Manchester United: Bruno Fernandes (top scorer with 8 goals), Amad Diallo (6 goals), and the key late-game finishers for United.
• Manchester City: Erling Haaland, the league’s second-highest scorer, with 21 goals, and playmakers such as Kevin De Bruyne who can influence the game.
• Head-to-Head:
• Manchester United’s most recent Premier League meeting with City was a thrilling 2-1 win at the Etihad, where Bruno Fernandes scored the winner with a penalty in the 88th minute. Historically, City have had the upper hand, but United managed to win the last derby and will look to replicate that success at home.
• Key Stats:
• Manchester United:
  • Conceded in 12 of their 15 home games this season.
  • Failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 8 home games.
  • 35% of their goals have been scored after the 75th minute.
  • Bruno Fernandes has scored in the last 3 home games.
  • Only won one of their last five home games against Manchester City.
• Manchester City:
  • Scored in 13 of their 15 away matches this season.
  • Conceded at least one goal in 11 of their 15 home games.
  • 93% of their games this season have seen at least one first-half goal.
  • Erling Haaland has scored 21 goals this season.
  • Won 3 and lost 2 of their last 6 league games.
• Betting Analysis & Predictions:
• Over 2.5 Goals: Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with Manchester City scoring freely, especially through Haaland, and Manchester United’s defense allowing goals. Manchester United’s late goalscoring ability, combined with City’s attacking firepower, makes over 2.5 goals a likely outcome. Verdict: Over 2.5 goals.
• Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Given Manchester United’s defensive woes at home and Manchester City’s strong attacking form, it’s highly probable that both teams will score. United has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 home games, and City has found the back of the net in most of their away matches this season. Verdict: Yes, both teams to score.
• First Half Goal: With 93% of Manchester City’s matches seeing at least one first-half goal, and the attacking quality on display from both teams, it’s almost certain that we’ll see a goal before the break. Verdict: Yes, at least one first-half goal.
• Conclusion:
• Manchester United’s recent struggles at home combined with Manchester City’s attacking dominance suggest a high-scoring encounter. While City are the favorites, United’s ability to score late and their recent win over City makes this a tantalizing matchup. With both teams likely to score and over 2.5 goals on the cards, expect an exciting, goal-filled derby at Old Trafford.
• Key Stats Summary:
• Manchester United have conceded in 12 of their 15 home games.
• Manchester City have scored in 13 of their 15 away games.
• Bruno Fernandes has scored in his last three home games for Manchester United.
• Manchester City has scored at least one first-half goal in 93% of their games this season.
• Manchester United have won just one of their last five home games against Manchester City.
• With both teams struggling defensively but with potent attacking forces, this match is set to deliver goals. Manchester City are likely to emerge as winners, but both teams to score and over 2.5 goals seem like solid bets.