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ENGLAND: Premier League
15:00 – Brentford v Brighton – 2.35 Brentford
•Match Preview: Brentford vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Premier League | Saturday | Gtech Community Stadium
Brentford and Brighton meet this weekend in what could be a quietly pivotal clash in the race for a top-half finish — and for Brighton, the lingering hope of European qualification. But both sides arrive with form lines that suggest promise has slipped into frustration, and neither has been convincing at either end of the pitch in recent weeks.
Brentford’s European dreams are hanging by a thread after just one win from their last six Premier League outings (D3, L2). Their recent 1-1 draw away at Arsenal showed resilience, but it also highlighted their struggle to turn tight matches into wins. At home, the Bees have been stung by inconsistency — they haven’t claimed three points at the Gtech Community Stadium since early December, going winless in their last eight home games (D3, L5). The spark that once made their home ground a fortress has faded.
Visitors Brighton are not exactly flying high either. Their once-lofty ambitions of breaking into the top four have long since been grounded, and now even a Europa League spot looks ambitious after a five-match winless streak (D2, L3). Their 2-2 draw with Leicester last time out was as chaotic as it was telling: defensive lapses continue to plague them, with two or more goals conceded in four straight matches.
Fabian Hürzeler’s men have shown vulnerability particularly on the road, leaking an average of 2.75 goals per game across their last four away trips. The likes of João Pedro and Kaoru Mitoma continue to threaten going forward, but Brighton’s backline often undoes their good work.
Both sides have endured sterile recent meetings, with the last two encounters ending 0-0. History suggests caution, but current defensive records — and attacking talent on both sides — may finally push this matchup into more entertaining territory.
? Key Stats:
- Brentford are winless in their last 8 home Premier League matches (D3, L5).
- Brighton have conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 4 league games.
- Brentford have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- 72% of Brighton’s league matches this season have gone Over 2.5 goals.
- Brighton have scored in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- Brentford have conceded in 15 of 16 home matches.
- Nine of Brighton’s last 12 league goals have come from set-pieces.
- Bryan Mbeumo has scored 4 of his last 5 goals between the 60th and 70th minute.
- João Pedro has scored in 9 matches this season — 8 of those saw both teams score.
- At least one first-half goal has been scored in 84% of Brighton’s Premier League matches.
? Betting Matrix & Predictions:
| Market | Verdict | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | ? Yes | Despite the history of goalless draws, both teams are defensively fragile, and Brighton games have consistently produced high goal counts. |
| Both Teams to Score | ? Yes | Brentford have scored in 13 of 16 away games; Brighton in 15 of 16. Both defences are conceding frequently. |
| Goal Before HT | ? Yes | Brighton games have seen early action – at least one first-half goal in 84% of matches. Brentford’s vulnerabilities suggest that trend continues. |
? Final Verdict:
Despite past matchups suggesting a tight, cautious affair, the current state of both squads suggests a more open game is likely. Brentford are desperate to end their home drought, while Brighton know only wins will keep their European hopes flickering. With attacking players like Mbeumo, Wissa, João Pedro and Mitoma involved — and both teams struggling to keep clean sheets — this could be the day the goals finally flow.
Prediction:
? 2-2 Draw – a lively contest where both teams cancel each other out in a back-and-forth encounter.
15:00 – Crystal Palace v Bournemouth – 2.35 Crystal Palace
•Match Preview: Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth
Premier League | Selhurst Park | This Weekend
Crystal Palace return to Selhurst Park hoping to bounce back from one of the most brutal weeks in their recent Premier League history. Back-to-back humiliations — a 5-2 home collapse to Manchester City after leading by two, followed by a 5-0 dismantling at the hands of Newcastle — have not only ended any dreams of a top-half finish but also set a grim defensive milestone not seen since 1935.
Oliver Glasner’s side must now salvage some pride in front of their own fans, who will be looking for a continuation of the team’s previously strong home form. The Eagles have won three straight at Selhurst Park and could make it four in a row for just the second time in their Premier League history. Despite the thrashings, Palace were in flying form before the Manchester City encounter — unbeaten in five league matches (W4, D1) — and have shown that when the pressure’s off, they can play with freedom and flair.
Bournemouth, meanwhile, found a lifeline with a narrow 1-0 win over Fulham to keep their faint hopes of European football alive. That victory snapped a six-game winless run (D2, L4), though questions remain over their ability to grind out results on the road, particularly with trips to Arsenal and Manchester City still looming. Their last three away games yielded just two points (D2, L1), and although they historically struggle in the capital — winless in their last ten visits (D5, L5) — one of those rare victories did come against Palace last December.
Bournemouth have had the better of recent meetings, going three games unbeaten against Palace (W2, D1), and they’ve kept a clean sheet in each of those encounters. However, keeping Palace out at home this time may prove difficult considering Jean-Philippe Mateta’s clinical form in front of the Selhurst faithful. He’s scored 18 times in 22 home league matches under Glasner — a club record for a single manager.
The Cherries will look to Justin Kluivert, whose away form has been electric, with 10 of his 12 Premier League goals coming on the road, often early — two inside the first six minutes. That adds to the expectation of another action-packed clash.
? Key Stats:
- Crystal Palace have won their last 3 Premier League home matches.
- Bournemouth are winless in their last 10 top-flight games in London (D5, L5).
- Each of Bournemouth’s last 4 away league games in London have ended 2-2.
- Bournemouth have scored in 12 straight away matches.
- Bournemouth have scored 62% of their league goals away from home.
- Palace have conceded in 13 of 16 home league matches.
- Bournemouth have conceded in 15 of 16 away games.
- Jean-Philippe Mateta has 18 goals in 22 home appearances under Glasner.
- Justin Kluivert has scored 10 of his 12 goals away from home, with 2 early openers.
- Bournemouth have scored 35% of their goals after the 75th minute.
? Betting Matrix & Predictions:
| Market | Verdict | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | ? Yes | Both sides are leaky at the back, especially recently — and Bournemouth’s away games have been goal-heavy. Palace’s scoring record at home adds fuel. |
| Both Teams to Score | ? Yes | Bournemouth have netted in 14 of 16 away games; Palace have scored in 13 of their last 16 away matches and are generally strong at Selhurst. |
| Goal Before HT | ? Yes | Bournemouth have early scorers like Kluivert and their recent London trips (4x 2-2) suggest fast starts. Palace also tend to concede early under pressure. |
? Final Verdict:
With both defences freshly exposed and both teams featuring forwards in form — particularly on home or away turf — this match screams goals. While Bournemouth may have taken the spoils in recent meetings, Palace’s home record under Glasner is impressive enough to suggest this could swing their way. However, with Bournemouth fighting for Europe, it’s unlikely they’ll go down without a fight.
Prediction:
? Crystal Palace 2-2 Bournemouth – a lively draw with goals in both halves and enough fireworks to shake off recent thrashings.
15:00 – Everton v Manchester City – 1.90 Manchester City
•Match Preview: Everton vs Manchester City
Premier League | Saturday | Goodison Park
Everton’s revival under returning boss David Moyes has built a solid platform for the Toffees to finish the season with confidence. A gritty 1-0 away win at high-flying Nottingham Forest last weekend highlighted their growing belief and resilience, extending their return under Moyes to just two defeats in 13 league outings (W5, D6). Only five Premier League teams have picked up more points during that spell, a testament to the Scot’s stabilising influence.
However, they now face arguably their toughest home test yet — the visit of reigning champions Manchester City. The Toffees haven’t beaten City since a famous 4-0 thumping back in 2017, and have failed to win any of the last 15 league encounters (D3, L12). Even at Goodison Park, the story is grim, with eight straight home winless matches against the blue half of Manchester.
Yet there are signs of resistance. Everton are currently on a six-game unbeaten home streak (W2, D4), with all of their last four ending in draws. Their ability to frustrate top opposition has improved, and they may look to deploy similar tactics to those that earned a 1-1 draw at the Etihad back in December. Iliman Ndiaye — the scorer in that game — remains a vital threat, supported by the physicality of Beto and the late-surging form of Abdoulaye Doucouré.
Manchester City arrive in mixed travelling form. Although they returned to winning ways with a dominant 5-2 thrashing of Crystal Palace last weekend, their recent away outings in the league have been underwhelming. Guardiola’s men have netted just two goals in their last four league away matches, and failed to score in their last two on the road — a streak they haven’t endured since 2015.
Still, City sit in fifth place and remain in control of their own Champions League fate, just a point above Chelsea. With Erling Haaland chasing the Golden Boot (21 goals), and Kevin De Bruyne continuing to orchestrate attacks with five assists in his last six starts, they possess the firepower to reignite their away form at any moment.
This could be a closer contest than the odds suggest, especially given Everton’s current confidence and City’s unusual bluntness away from the Etihad.
? Key Stats:
- Everton are unbeaten in their last 6 Premier League home games (W2, D4).
- Everton have drawn their last 4 home matches, a fifth would be a club first.
- Man City have failed to score in their last 2 away league matches.
- City have scored only 2 goals in their last 4 away PL games.
- Everton have not beaten Man City in their last 15 PL meetings (D3, L12).
- Kevin De Bruyne has been involved in 6 goals in his last 6 league starts.
- Haaland has scored 21 goals this season, including 7 openers.
- 91% of City’s PL matches have featured a goal in the first half.
- Everton have been shown the first card in their last 5 home games vs Man City.
- 66% of City’s league games have ended with Over 2.5 goals.
? Betting Matrix & Predictions:
| Market | Verdict | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | ? No | Despite City’s explosive capabilities, their poor away scoring form and Everton’s tight defensive structure point toward a more cautious affair. |
| Both Teams to Score | ? Yes | Everton have found goals recently at home, and City’s defence has shown vulnerability. Expect one each. |
| Goal Before HT | ? Yes | City’s matches are first-half goal magnets — 91% have seen early action. Everton often concede early, particularly against City. |
? Final Verdict:
Moyes has transformed Everton into a side that’s hard to beat, especially at Goodison. While their long winless run against City will weigh on minds, recent form and City’s limp away output could give the Toffees hope of nicking something again. Expect a dogged, tactical match with moments of quality at both ends — but another Goodison draw might just be on the cards.
Prediction:
? Everton 1-1 Manchester City – A tightly-contested draw that keeps Everton’s home run alive and leaves City with more away frustrations.
15:00 – West Ham v Southampton – 1.50 West Ham
•Match Preview: West Ham United vs Southampton
Premier League | Saturday | London Stadium
With survival mathematically assured but pride still on the line, West Ham return to the London Stadium desperate to deliver a much-needed win and put an end to a five-match winless stretch (D2, L3). David Moyes may have been replaced by Graham Potter, but the form remains flat, and the Hammers’ 17th-place standing — their lowest at this stage since relegation in 2010/11 — reflects the lack of progression under the former Chelsea boss.
Yet Saturday presents a golden opportunity to lift the gloom. Relegated Southampton arrive bottom of the table, already consigned to the Championship in record time, and with a horrendous away record that reads like a cautionary tale: just one win in their last 22 top-flight road trips (D4, L17). With 26 defeats in 32 matches and 77 goals conceded, the Saints are flirting with the lowest points total in Premier League history — just one point shy of Derby’s infamous 11-point season from 2007/08.
West Ham will be encouraged by their dominant recent record in this fixture. They’ve won eight of the last 12 Premier League meetings and are unbeaten in their last three against the Saints. Crucially, they’ve been ruthless against lower-ranked opposition at home this season — winning all four matches against sides that began the weekend in 14th or lower.
For Southampton, a 3-0 home thrashing by Aston Villa last time out summed up their season: toothless in attack and brittle at the back — even two saved penalties by Aaron Ramsdale couldn’t prevent humiliation. The Saints have failed to win any of their last eight matches (D1, L7) and have kept zero clean sheets in their last 15 league games.
Potter may turn to Niclas Füllkrug, who impressed off the bench recently and assisted the winner in the reverse fixture. Bowen and Soucek continue to be West Ham’s most reliable attacking outlets, having combined for 15 league goals — many of them opening strikes.
? Key Stats:
- West Ham are unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 Premier League games vs Southampton (W8, D3, L1).
- None of the last 20 PL H2Hs at West Ham have ended in a draw (WHU: W15, L5).
- Southampton have lost 13 of their 16 away matches this season (W1, D2).
- Saints have failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 consecutive matches.
- There have been 3+ goals in each of Southampton’s last 7 away league games.
- 81% of Southampton’s league matches have featured a first-half goal.
- Southampton have conceded 77 goals this season – worst in the league.
- West Ham have conceded in 14 of their 16 home games.
- Aaron Ramsdale has conceded 20 goals in 10 appearances vs West Ham – more than against any team bar Liverpool & Man Utd.
- Southampton were trailing at HT in 18 of 32 matches.
? Betting Matrix & Predictions:
| Market | Verdict | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | ? Yes | Southampton games are goal-heavy, especially away; seven consecutive away matches have had 3+ goals. West Ham will exploit a porous defence. |
| Both Teams to Score | ? No | Southampton have failed to score in 7 of their 16 away games. West Ham may control proceedings with little threat from the visitors. |
| Goal Before HT | ? Yes | 81% of Southampton’s matches have featured a first-half goal; they often concede early (18 games trailing at HT). |
? Final Verdict:
This fixture has all the hallmarks of a lopsided affair. West Ham, although far from perfect, should have more than enough to dispatch a disheartened and deflated Southampton side. With the Saints leaking goals and offering little resistance, expect West Ham to take control early and cruise to a much-needed home victory.
Prediction:
? West Ham United 3-0 Southampton – A dominant performance that further deepens the Saints’ historic misery.
17:30 – Aston Villa v Newcastle – 2.30 Aston Villa
Match Preview: Aston Villa vs Newcastle United
Premier League | Saturday | Villa Park
The battle for a place in next season’s UEFA Champions League intensifies this weekend as Aston Villa welcome in-form Newcastle United to Villa Park. With both clubs nestled in the top-seven and separated by just five points, the stakes could hardly be higher. Villa, buoyed by a thrilling 3-2 second-leg win over PSG in midweek (though they bowed out 5-4 on aggregate), now shift all focus to domestic ambitions, with their Champions League qualification hopes hanging delicately in the balance.
Unai Emery’s men are in fine fettle, having won nine of their last 10 matches in all competitions, and remain unbeaten in their last 15 home Premier League fixtures (W8, D7). Villa Park has become a fortress once more, although their defensive vulnerabilities persist — just two clean sheets during that home run suggest this one could open up quickly. Nevertheless, their attack has been relentless, with goals in 12 straight home games and 2+ goals in eight of their last nine at Villa Park.
Newcastle come into the match with wind in their sails following a rampant 5-0 demolition of Crystal Palace — their largest win of the season and a fifth Premier League win on the spin. Even without head coach Eddie Howe on the touchline, Jason Tindall’s stewardship has yielded back-to-back 4+ goal victories, proving their attacking rhythm is undisturbed. The Magpies now sit third in the table and have won 27 points on the road, only trailing Arsenal and Liverpool for away form.
Historically, this fixture has tilted in Newcastle’s favour of late, with three straight wins over Villa, including a 3-0 thumping at St. James’ Park earlier in the campaign. But their record at Villa Park is patchier, with four losses in their last five visits, making this a potentially tricky assignment.
On the player front, Ollie Watkins continues to carry Villa’s goal-scoring hopes, while Youri Tielemans is becoming a big-game player with a knack for scoring early — 12 of his last 13 club goals have come before half-time. Newcastle’s Alexander Isak is pushing for the Golden Boot with 21 league goals, while Jacob Murphy remains an underrated creative threat on the road, with 13 goal involvements in his last 17 away appearances.
? Key Stats:
- Villa are unbeaten in their last 15 home PL matches (W8, D7).
- Villa have scored in 12 consecutive home games, netting 2+ in 8 of the last 9.
- Newcastle have won 5 consecutive PL games, scoring 4+ in the last two.
- Newcastle have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- Each of Newcastle’s last 4 matches and Villa’s last 7 have had 3+ goals.
- Both teams have scored in 81% of Villa’s PL home games.
- Newcastle have scored first in their last 6 matches.
- Tielemans has 3 career PL goals vs Newcastle – most vs any team.
- Watkins has scored in 44% of Villa’s home league games.
- At least one 1st-half goal has been scored in 90% of Newcastle’s league games.
? Betting Matrix & Predictions:
| Market | Verdict | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | ? Yes | Both teams are scoring freely and conceding often. Their recent form and H2H history point towards another high-scoring clash. |
| Both Teams to Score | ? Yes | Villa struggle for clean sheets at home, while Newcastle have scored in 13 of 16 away games. Villa have netted in all of their last 12 at home. |
| Goal Before HT | ? Yes | 90% of Newcastle’s PL games feature 1st-half goals. Tielemans and Isak are early scorers. Expect action before the break. |
? Final Verdict:
With Champions League spots on the line, expect this clash to live up to its billing. Villa’s home form is exceptional, but Newcastle’s ruthless edge and recent goal explosions make them a serious threat. Both sides will look to go toe-to-toe rather than sit deep, setting the stage for a thrilling, end-to-end encounter. Home advantage may give Villa the slight edge, but there’s little to separate these two in what could be a shootout.
Prediction:
? Aston Villa 2-2 Newcastle United – Goals galore, drama early, and a share of the spoils in a top-five classic.