English Premier League 11st May 2025

Man Utd have Europa Finals to think off. Expect Bobby Charlton’s daughter up front, Amorin’s wife as a holding midfielder. I would be greatly surprised if we see a near First XI today. Newcastle and Chelsea will be competitive but Chelsea have a finals distraction. Nottingham Forest can upgrade to Champions League with a win today.

ENGLAND: Premier League – 3 matches remain


12:00 – Newcastle v Chelsea – 2.10 Newcastle – Champions League tussle

Premier League Preview: Newcastle United vs Chelsea

Kickoff: Sunday

Venue: St. James’ Park

With both clubs jostling for a Champions League berth, Newcastle United’s clash with Chelsea promises fireworks on Tyneside this Sunday. Separated only by goal difference heading into the final three rounds, this is not just a high-stakes six-pointer—it could define who returns to Europe’s top table.

Newcastle’s form at St. James’ Park has been nothing short of formidable. The Magpies have won five straight home league games, and their recent performances have been emphatic—each of their last three wins coming with a margin of at least three goals. Eddie Howe’s side seem to thrive under pressure, and with their European fate hanging in the balance, they’ll be eager to pile on the pressure in front of a sold-out crowd.

Chelsea, however, are gathering momentum at just the right time. Unbeaten in six and fresh off a midweek win that secured a spot in the UEFA Conference League final, Enzo Maresca’s team are starting to click. They dismantled Liverpool 3-1 in their last Premier League outing and appear confident despite their uneven away form in 2025.

Maresca has Chelsea purring, but history and geography may not favour the Blues this weekend. Chelsea have won only once in their last five Premier League away matches, and Newcastle have won seven of their last eleven league home games against them. Eddie Howe, notably, has defeated Chelsea under seven different managers, and he’ll now look to make Maresca his eighth conquest.

This fixture is also rich in attacking quality. Alexander Isak, who’s scored in each of his last two games, is now up to 23 goals for the season—only one player in the league has more. Chelsea’s answer lies in Cole Palmer, who ended his mini-drought with a goal against Liverpool and has a knack for second-half strikes, having netted four of his last five away league goals after the break.

Key Match Stats:

  • Newcastle have won their last 5 Premier League home matches, scoring 3+ in each of the last 3.
  • Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 6 matches in all competitions (W5, D1).
  • Newcastle have scored in both halves in each of their last 4 home games.
  • Alexander Isak has scored in 59% of his Premier League home appearances this season.
  • Chelsea have won only 1 of their last 5 Premier League away matches.
  • There has been a first-half goal in each of Newcastle’s last 29 home games.
  • Newcastle have scored before half-time in each of their last 15 home matches.
  • Chelsea’s last 6 games have all featured a first-half goal.
  • In 8 of the last 10 H2Hs at St James’ Park, there were more goals in the second half.
  • Chelsea’s last 2 wins have seen them outscore opponents in both halves.

Betting Angles & Goals Analysis:

  • Over 2.5 Goals – YESBoth sides have hit their attacking stride. Newcastle are averaging over 3 goals per home game in their last five, while Chelsea are riding a five-game winning streak in all competitions. Isak, Palmer, and Jackson all pose major threats in transition and possession. With both teams pushing for top-five qualification, expect this to be open and aggressive.
  • Both Teams to Score – YESNewcastle’s defensive record has wobbled even at home—they’ve conceded in 6 of their last 8 at St. James’—and Chelsea have netted in 10 of their last 11 matches. Palmer and Isak are in form, and the high stakes suggest caution will be cast aside. A 2-2 or 3-1 type scoreline feels realistic.
  • Goal Before Halftime – YESStatistically overwhelming: Newcastle have had a first-half goal in their last 29 home games. Chelsea’s last six have also all seen early breakthroughs. Expect fireworks from the opening whistle, especially with both teams favouring aggressive, high-pressing starts.

Final Verdict:

This match could be the most pivotal in the top-five race. Newcastle’s blistering home form gives them the edge, but Chelsea’s renewed spirit and Palmer’s growing influence mean they’re unlikely to go quietly. With plenty of firepower and two sides that don’t sit back, goals are all but guaranteed.

Predicted Score: Newcastle 3-2 Chelsea



14:15 – Nottingham v Leicester – 1.36 Nottingham – points required Forest

Premier League Preview: Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City

Kickoff: Sunday

Venue: The City Ground

A Midlands derby with very different motivations awaits on Sunday as Champions League-chasing Nottingham Forest host already-relegated Leicester City. While the mood in each camp may contrast sharply, both teams come into this with points to prove and personal milestones within reach.

For Forest, the stakes are high. Nuno Espírito Santo’s side began April by beating Manchester United and climbing into the top five, but they’ve since stumbled badly, with just one win in four (D1, L3). Now sitting sixth and two points behind Chelsea, the pressure is back on. A failure to finish in the top five would be a bitter pill after holding the position for much of the spring.

The key issue has been a blunted attack—Forest have scored more than once in just one of their last six games in all competitions. Their prolific striker Chris Wood remains their main hope. His brace in the reverse fixture helped secure a 3-1 win at the King Power, and with 19 goals this season (nine of them openers), he continues to be their tone-setter.

Leicester, meanwhile, approach this fixture with little left but pride. Their 2-0 win over Southampton last weekend ended an 11-match winless run and confirmed they will avoid finishing bottom of the league, but their fate is sealed regardless. What remains is the chance to spoil Forest’s top-five push and avoid ending a dismal season on a sour note.

Unfortunately for the Foxes, history and form are not on their side. They haven’t won a league match at The City Ground since 1994, and have only one win in their last 18 away league visits to Forest (D5, L12). Their current away form is equally grim—winless in their last seven (D1, L6) and without a clean sheet in 17 consecutive Premier League away games.

Still, Jamie Vardy gave Leicester fans a flash of the past with a goal last week and could mark a landmark 200th club goal if he finds the net here. He’ll be up against a Forest defence that has conceded first in each of their last three home matches.

Key Stats:

  • Forest have lost their last 3 home matches in the Premier League.
  • Leicester are winless in 7 straight away games (D1, L6).
  • Leicester haven’t kept an away clean sheet in their last 17 league games.
  • Chris Wood has 19 goals this season, including 9 openers.
  • Forest have won just 1 of 10 league games when conceding first (D1, L8).
  • Forest have scored fewer than 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • Leicester have scored just 29 league goals all season – third-fewest in the league.
  • Leicester have lost 12 of their 17 away matches this campaign.
  • Forest are unbeaten in 17 of the last 18 home league H2Hs vs Leicester.

Betting Angles & Goals Analysis:

  • Over 2.5 Goals – NODespite the high stakes for Forest and the loosened shackles for Leicester, this doesn’t shape up as a goal-fest. Forest’s recent matches at home have been tight—seven straight have finished with under 3 goals—and Leicester have one of the most impotent attacks in the league. A 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline seems far more likely than a thriller.
  • Both Teams to Score – NOLeicester have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, and Forest’s issue has been inconsistency up front, not porous defending. With Forest desperate for a clean performance and Leicester unable to string attacking phases together away from home, BTTS seems a stretch.
  • Goal Before Halftime – YESBoth sides tend to start matches with energy, and six of the last 10 H2Hs have seen more first-half goals than second. Forest often concede early at home, and Wood frequently scores the opener. Expect one goal before the break, possibly off a set-piece or early press.

Final Verdict:

It’s now or never for Forest in the Champions League race. Leicester may have nothing to lose, but their dismal away form and lack of clean sheets make them vulnerable. Expect a controlled but nervy win from Forest, likely led by Chris Wood, who will be eager to hit a landmark of his own as Forest aim to snap their home slump at the perfect time.

Predicted Score: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Leicester City


14:15 – Manchester Utd v West Ham – 2.00 Manchester Utd

Premier League Preview: Manchester United vs West Ham United – European Final for Man Utd so expect to see a shuffling of the pack.

Kickoff: Sunday

Venue: Old Trafford

With European glory now back on the table, Manchester United will look to carry the feel-good factor from their Europa League semi-final demolition of Athletic Club into Sunday’s Premier League meeting with struggling West Ham. The Red Devils’ 4-1 second-leg win sealed a 7-1 aggregate victory and handed manager Rúben Amorim a rare moment of respite in what’s otherwise been a woeful domestic campaign.

Now 15th in the table with just three games remaining, United are desperately seeking to salvage pride and perhaps climb into the top half. Their current six-match winless run in the league (D2, L4) is close to record territory—it would equal their longest such streak since the early 90s. And yet, Sunday’s opposition may offer some relief.

West Ham have not won at Old Trafford in a Premier League fixture since 2007, and they’re on a torrid run themselves. Without a league win in eight (D3, L5), the Hammers enter this clash occupying 17th place—mathematically safe from relegation, but still jostling to avoid the ignominy of being this season’s lowest-placed survivor.

Despite their dreadful record at the Theatre of Dreams, West Ham have taken a surprising upper hand in recent meetings—winning three of the last four league encounters. But Graham Potter’s side are winless in four consecutive away matches and look unlikely to exploit United’s vulnerabilities.

For the hosts, all eyes will be on Mason Mount, who is finally delivering returns after a season dogged by injury and inconsistency. His brace against Bilbao makes it three goals in two games. Former United man Aaron Wan-Bissaka returns to Old Trafford in a West Ham shirt, having produced five Premier League goal involvements this season (2 goals, 3 assists)—a joint-career high.

This fixture is also familiar territory for late drama. United have scored four of their last six league goals after the 80th minute, often leaving it late at home, while West Ham have let points slip frequently in the dying stages under Potter.

Key Stats:

  • Man United are winless in their last 6 Premier League games (D2, L4).
  • West Ham are winless in their last 8 Premier League games (D3, L5).
  • United have failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their last 10 matches.
  • West Ham have lost 13 of their last 16 league visits to Old Trafford (D3).
  • United have won the last 4 home league H2Hs against West Ham to nil.
  • Bruno Fernandes has scored in United’s last 2 home wins.
  • Wan-Bissaka returns with 5 goal contributions this season—more than in 4 of his 5 United seasons.
  • Odd number of total goals in 8 of the last 10 H2Hs.
  • Both sides have scored in only 2 of the last 6 H2Hs.

Betting Angles & Goals Analysis:

  • Over 2.5 Goals – YESDespite their poor form, United’s recent matches have been eventful. Four of their last five in all competitions have seen 3+ goals, while West Ham’s defensive fragility and late collapses suggest more drama is likely. Mount, Fernandes, Garnacho, Bowen and Soucek offer attacking value on both ends.
  • Both Teams to Score – YESUnited are leaking goals too regularly, with just two clean sheets in their last 10 games. West Ham may not win often, but they’ve scored in 7 of their last 9 away fixtures. This has the hallmarks of a 2-1 or 3-1 type match.
  • Goal Before Halftime – YESA first-half goal has been scored in each of United’s last 8 games and West Ham have rarely managed a shutout before the break in away matches. With both teams eager to break their winless skids, expect urgency from kickoff.

Final Verdict:

Two sides with underwhelming league campaigns meet in a game that means little in standings but plenty in pride. Manchester United have more attacking weapons, home advantage, and the bounce from their Europa League heroics. West Ham, while spirited, are too porous to resist for 90 minutes.

Predicted Score: Manchester United 3-1 West Ham United


14:15 – Tottenham v Crystal Palace – 2.50 Crystal Palace

Premier League Preview: Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace

Kickoff: Sunday

Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Tottenham may have booked a Europa League final date with Manchester United, but their Premier League campaign has unravelled into frustration. Sitting a lowly 16th with three games to play, Spurs return home with both pressure and history on their side. A tenth straight top-flight home victory over Crystal Palace would equal the club’s longest winning streak as hosts against a single opponent — and it may offer a final glimmer of domestic pride in what has been a season of squandered chances.

Yet Ange Postecoglou cannot ignore the pattern that’s haunted Spurs after European fixtures: zero wins in five home league matches following Europa League games this season (D2, L3). That trend, paired with a dire run of just one win from their last six league games, underlines their ongoing inconsistency.

Despite their struggles, Spurs’ attacking core remains capable. Brennan Johnson leads their scoring charts with 11 goals, while James Maddison and Dominic Solanke have contributed significantly with 9 and 8 respectively. Richarlison, who has a history of scoring in wins against Palace, could be key in this match if Postecoglou rotates the squad ahead of the final.

Palace, meanwhile, enter this London derby with quiet confidence. Though winless in five (D3, L2), their recent results include spirited draws with top-eight sides like Arsenal, showcasing grit despite limited reward. Sitting in 12th on 46 points, they remain within reach of their best-ever Premier League tally (49), and with the FA Cup final looming, the Eagles have more to gain than just bragging rights.

They’ll be eyeing a piece of history too — their first-ever league double over Spurs — after winning the reverse fixture 1-0 courtesy of Jean-Philippe Mateta. The French striker now has 14 league goals this season, including six openers, while Eberechi Eze is red-hot, having directly contributed to six of Palace’s last ten goals in all competitions.

However, Palace’s away form has dipped. Without a win in four on the road and having failed to take a point from their last nine top-flight visits to Spurs, they’ll need to draw on the kind of performance that saw them win 2-0 at both Old Trafford and the London Stadium earlier this campaign.

Key Stats:

  • Tottenham are winless in 4 straight Premier League matches (D1, L3).
  • Spurs have lost only once in their last 9 home league matches vs Palace (W8).
  • Palace are winless in their last 5 league matches (D3, L2).
  • Spurs have failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 consecutive league games.
  • Palace have scored 2+ goals in 3 of their last 4 away wins.
  • Spurs have seen BTTS land in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • First-half goals have been scored in Spurs’ last 8 matches and last 8 home games.
  • Palace have 3 away wins this season against bottom-half clubs (Man Utd, Fulham, West Ham).
  • Eze has 4 goals and 2 assists in his last 6 appearances.
  • Spurs have earned 21 of their 38 points at home; Palace have earned 24 away.

Betting Angles & Goals Analysis:

  • Over 2.5 Goals – YESSpurs’ recent matches have been high on attacking output but low on defensive solidity. BTTS has landed in six straight home games, and with Palace netting twice against Arsenal and scoring in 8 of their last 10 away matches, this clash has all the makings of a goal-rich affair.
  • Both Teams to Score – YESTottenham haven’t kept a clean sheet in 10, and Palace are buoyed by Mateta and Eze’s recent form. Spurs generally find the net at home, and Palace’s speed in transition should ensure chances at both ends.
  • Goal Before Halftime – YESWith first-half goals in each of Tottenham’s last eight games, and Palace striking early in recent outings, the odds are strong for action before the interval. Spurs often start quickly, and Palace have conceded early on their travels.

Final Verdict:

Expect an entertaining London clash where both sides are motivated for different reasons — Spurs chasing history and momentum before their European final, and Palace targeting a club-record points tally and their first-ever league double over Spurs. Tottenham’s poor post-Europe record and defensive leaks make this a tough game to call outright, but the goals market looks ripe.

Predicted Scoreline: Tottenham 2–2 Crystal Palace


16:30 – Liverpool v Arsenal – 2.10 Liverpool

Premier League Preview: Liverpool vs Arsenal

Kickoff: Sunday

Venue: Anfield

Liverpool may already have the title sewn up, but they’ll want to put on a show in front of their home fans as the Premier League champions welcome Arsenal to Anfield. The Reds suffered a rare league defeat last weekend at Stamford Bridge (3-1), but celebrations continued on Merseyside. However, some of the joy was tempered by Trent Alexander-Arnold’s bombshell announcement that he will leave the club this summer — a seismic shift for a side already facing transition.

Jürgen Klopp will look to lift the mood by securing a tenth straight domestic home win, though doing so against second-placed Arsenal is no small task. Liverpool haven’t beaten the Gunners in any of their last five league encounters (D3, L2), and while Arsenal haven’t won at Anfield since 2012, they arrive with a formidable 12-match unbeaten away run in the league — the longest current streak in the division.

Arsenal, however, have problems of their own. They are reeling from three consecutive defeats — to PSG in Europe and Bournemouth domestically — marking only the third such run under Mikel Arteta. The latest defeat came in a game they were leading, taking their total points dropped from winning positions this season to 21, their joint-most in a Premier League campaign. That fragility may once again come into play against a Liverpool side known for late surges and second-half pressure.

Both sides bring attacking weapons: Mohamed Salah remains the league’s top scorer with 28 goals, including goals in 66% of league matches and 65% of home games. Arsenal counters with a more balanced trio — Havertz (9), Trossard (8), and Martinelli (7) — but none with Salah’s ruthlessness. Meanwhile, Virgil van Dijk could reach a milestone 300th Premier League appearance, having scored in the reverse fixture and three more times since.

This fixture traditionally delivers action — not least early on — with at least two first-half goals in the last five Premier League H2Hs, and both teams showing attacking intent even when under pressure.

Key Stats:

  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 15 home league matches (W13, D2).
  • Arsenal have not lost in 12 consecutive away league games (W8, D4).
  • The last 5 league H2Hs have seen Arsenal avoid defeat (W2, D3).
  • Liverpool have drawn 4 of their last 6 home games vs Arsenal.
  • Salah has 28 goals this season, scoring in 66% of league games.
  • Arsenal have dropped 21 points from winning positions this season.
  • At least 2 goals were scored before HT in the last 5 H2Hs.
  • 9 of the last 10 H2Hs between these two have finished with an even number of total goals.
  • Arsenal are winless at Anfield in 11 years (last win: Sept 2012).
  • Liverpool have scored in the second half in each of their last 7 games.

Betting Angles & Goals Analysis:

  • Over 2.5 Goals – YESWith two attack-minded teams boasting prolific scorers, and recent head-to-heads producing drama early and late, over 2.5 goals looks highly likely. Arsenal’s defense is faltering, while Liverpool have scored at least twice in 14 of their 17 home games this season.
  • Both Teams to Score – YESBTTS has landed in 4 of the last 5 H2Hs and both sides have scored in 5 of Arsenal’s last 6 matches. Liverpool rarely keep clean sheets in big games, and Arsenal’s front three remain a threat despite recent losses.
  • Goal Before Halftime – YESGiven the five straight meetings with 2+ first-half goals and both sides showing a tendency to start games with urgency, the likelihood of an early breakthrough is high. Liverpool in particular have scored or conceded inside the first 30 minutes in each of their last five home matches.

Final Verdict:

While Liverpool have little riding on the result, pride, form, and fanfare will fuel their desire to beat a rival and cap off their title-winning home run. Arsenal’s away form and motivation to lock down second will keep this competitive. Expect an open, high-quality encounter — one more fitting of a title decider than a procession.

Predicted Scoreline: Liverpool 2–2 Arsenal

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