Review/Preview : Excellent livestream yesterday. A bumper day of profit. Today is a little shy on volume, particularly at 14:00 which is the usual livestream. The Italians are here albeit before and after 14:00 in all bar 2 matches. Only one Spanish League match too ( I thought I’d see more Primiera liga matches but no) suggests a Telegram session today. Frustrating given the momentum of yesterday.https://youtu.be/Cb4Esaq_0D4?si=_Ca3HmjSeqM6_sK1
Live : will decide nearer to 14:00 whether to do a livestream so watch out. Better yet, subscribe to www.youtube.com/@footballtradingprofits to be alerted if I put up a livestream
ENGLAND: Premier League
14:00 – Bournemouth v Manchester Utd – 1.67 Bournemouth
• Match Preview: Bournemouth vs Manchester United
Premier League | Vitality Stadium | Saturday
Bournemouth still have a faint pulse in the race for European qualification despite a turbulent run of form that’s seen them collect just one win from their last eight Premier League games (D3, L4). However, they have shown signs of stabilisation, going unbeaten in their last three (W1, D2) and registering consecutive clean sheets – a feat they haven’t achieved since November 2019, when the third in that sequence was a 1-0 win over… Manchester United.
Under Andoni Iraola, the Cherries have demonstrated a growing comfort in this fixture, claiming seven points from the last three league encounters with United – equalling the total from their first dozen top-flight clashes (W2, D1, L9). There’s a sense of belief at the Vitality, and with eighth place potentially offering a European lifeline, Bournemouth’s motivation will be high.
Manchester United enter this clash with one eye on a crucial Europa League semi-final against Athletic Club, which may influence boss Ruben Amorim’s team selection. United’s domestic momentum was disrupted last week in a disjointed 1-0 defeat to Wolves, a result that marked the fifth time they’ve been ‘doubled’ by a Premier League opponent this season. Alarmingly, Bournemouth could become the sixth, something United haven’t suffered in a single top-flight campaign since 1930/31.
Their away form provides little confidence – United have lost their last two on the road and are staring down a third successive away defeat, a scenario not seen since early 2022. With defensive frailties evident – they’ve conceded eight goals across their last three Premier League meetings with Bournemouth – another shaky showing could well be on the cards.
Players to Watch
- Antoine Semenyo (Bournemouth) – Leads the Premier League in shots attempted this season (116). He scored in the reverse fixture and continues to pose a consistent threat.
- Casemiro (Manchester United) – Has a strong record against the Cherries (W2, D1), netting twice and assisting twice against Lyon last week – an indication of attacking involvement from deep.
Key Stats
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W1, D2).
- Bournemouth kept back-to-back clean sheets for the first time since 2019.
- Bournemouth have scored in 14 of their 17 away matches and drawn their last 3 on the road.
- 62% of Bournemouth’s goals have come away from home.
- 35% of Bournemouth’s goals have arrived after the 75th minute.
- Manchester United have conceded in 13 of 17 home games.
- United have failed to score in 7 of those 17 home matches.
- United have not lost when opening the scoring this season (W6, D4).
Betting Angles
- Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Bournemouth are finding the net consistently, especially late in games. United’s defensive record is unconvincing, particularly at home. Add in the possibility of rotated line-ups with the Europa League looming, and this feels primed for goals. - Both Teams to Score: Yes
United’s home form is porous (only 4 clean sheets in 17), while Bournemouth have the third-best away goal ratio in the league. Both sides have something to prove, and that typically leads to an open affair. - Goal Before Halftime: Likely
With United seeking early control and Bournemouth always dangerous in transition, expect early exchanges to bear fruit. Semenyo’s directness and United’s inconsistency make an early breakthrough probable.
Prediction
This one has all the makings of a lively encounter. Bournemouth’s recent resilience and decent form in this fixture, coupled with United’s distracted focus and travel troubles, suggest a 2-2 draw could be on the cards – one that satisfies the goal-hunters but frustrates both managers.
16:30 – Liverpool v Tottenham – 1.25 Liverpool
• Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur
Premier League | Anfield | Sunday
Liverpool stand on the brink of glory. A season defined by consistency, attacking flair, and a relentless drive for redemption has put the Reds in pole position to lift their 20th top-flight title – a record-equalling feat with arch-rivals Manchester United. All that’s required now is to avoid defeat at Anfield against a faltering Tottenham side to spark celebrations that have been long in the making.
This moment is especially poetic for Liverpool, who were denied a true trophy lift in front of fans back in 2019/20 due to COVID restrictions. Now, under Arne Slot, they’re unbeaten in 14 straight home matches (W12, D2), having scored in each one of them. In fact, they’ve hit the net in every one of their last 29 games overall, including each of their last 17 away matches – an astonishing attacking record that Spurs will need to halt to stand any chance.
Tottenham, by contrast, are spiralling. Five defeats from their last seven league games have seen them sink to 16th place, in what could be their worst Premier League campaign since rejoining the top flight in 1978. Defensive lapses have been costly – Spurs have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last eight games and have conceded in 15 of their 17 home matches. That record doesn’t inspire confidence as they visit a ground where they’ve gone 15 matches without a win (D4, L11).
Away form also remains a concern for Ange Postecoglou’s men, who have lost six of their last eight league matches on the road. With their focus potentially already shifting to the Europa League semi-final ahead, a full-throttle Liverpool side could prove overwhelming.
Players to Watch
- Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool) – The Hungarian midfielder has scored in both of Liverpool’s wins over Spurs this season and boasts a perfect record of 26 straight wins for his club when he scores.
- Dominic Solanke (Tottenham) – The ex-Liverpool striker has proven a thorn this season, notching a goal and an assist against his former club, and has opened the scoring in four of his last five games where he’s found the net.
Key Stats
- Liverpool have won 24 of 33 league matches this season.
- Liverpool have scored in each of their last 29 matches.
- Liverpool have scored 2-3 goals in 14 of their last 17 home games.
- Liverpool have won 11 of their 17 away matches.
- Spurs have lost 5 of their last 7 matches.
- Spurs have failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 straight games.
- Tottenham have lost 6 of their last 8 away league games.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 15 home H2Hs vs Spurs (W11, D4).
Betting Angles
- Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Liverpool are a scoring machine at Anfield, regularly netting 2-3 goals, while Tottenham’s leaky defence adds to the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter. With both teams contributing to entertaining scorelines all season, this seems almost inevitable. - Both Teams to Score: Yes
Liverpool rarely keep clean sheets, and while Spurs are underperforming, they have attacking talent that can punish any slip. With pride and a potential Europa League place still motivating them, expect them to at least get on the board. - Goal Before Halftime: Highly Likely
Liverpool often start fast at home, and with Spurs conceding early in many games recently, the script feels ready for a first-half goal – or two.
Prediction
Liverpool have both the momentum and the motivation. Tottenham, riddled with inconsistency and defensive issues, look unlikely to stand in their way. Expect an electric Anfield atmosphere and a dominant display.
Score Prediction: Liverpool 3-1 Tottenham