Italian and Spanish second tiers are prime fodder today. Our summer leagues are with us too and in monitoring mode at the moment.

Review/Preview :https://youtu.be/mMxwyKs_04s

Live: Definitely on Telegram from 12:30. Maybe at 14:00 for a livestream Comment at the video above if interested.

ENGLAND: Premier League

14:00 – Brentford v Manchester Utd – 1.62 Manchester Utd
Premier League Preview: Brentford vs Manchester United
Venue: Gtech Community Stadium
Date: Sunday
Kick-off: [Time TBC]

With just four matches left in the campaign, Brentford still cling to slim hopes of European qualification, while Manchester United limp toward the finish line, winless in their last five Premier League outings. As the two meet at the Gtech Community Stadium, recent form and statistical trends suggest the likelihood of goals – but the outcome is far less certain.

Brentford sit 11th in the table with 49 points, 11 adrift of the Europa League places, but they arrive in better form than their visitors. A solid 2-0 win away to Nottingham Forest last time out extended their unbeaten run to four matches (W2, D2). They’ve also benefited from a strong home record, scoring freely even when results haven’t always followed.

Manchester United, meanwhile, are trudging through a dismal spell, drawing 1-1 at Bournemouth in their last game and stretching their winless streak to five (D2, L3). The Red Devils are languishing in 14th on 39 points, with defensive fragility and late-game scoring patterns continuing to define their inconsistent performances.

Head-to-Head & Context

United won the reverse fixture 2-1 at Old Trafford, thanks to second-half strikes from Alejandro Garnacho and Rasmus Højlund. However, Brentford had their say too, with Ethan Pinnock scoring for the Bees in a match where both sides found the net after the break.

Despite United’s recent dominance in this fixture (unbeaten in the last four H2Hs), Brentford will be buoyed by their improved attacking sharpness at home and the form of talisman Bryan Mbeumo – now up to 18 league goals – and Yoane Wissa, who has 16.

? Key Stats

• Brentford have scored in 14 of their 17 away matches, and in each of their last 8 on the road.
• At home, however, Brentford have conceded in 16 of 17 Premier League games.
• 100% of Brentford’s home wins this season featured over 2.5 goals.
• Manchester United have conceded in 13 of 17 home games and scored in just 10.
• 36% of United’s goals have come after the 75th minute.
• Brentford have won just one of their last five home games vs Man United.
• Brentford’s Mbeumo has scored in 42% of Premier League games and 47% of home fixtures.
• 41% of Brentford home games saw both teams score before halftime.

?? Match Outlook & Predictions

This fixture pits two shaky defences against two potent frontlines. Brentford’s tendency to concede at home – having let in goals in all but one league fixture at Gtech – aligns well with United’s sporadic but persistent ability to score late. At the other end, Brentford’s attacking output – powered by Mbeumo and Wissa – looks more cohesive and threatening than United’s makeshift forward play, which often relies on moments of individual brilliance.

United’s away form offers little confidence, having not won on the road since March 16 and failing to keep clean sheets regularly. Combine this with Brentford’s drive to finish the season strong, and we could be set for a wide-open contest.

? Betting Conclusions

• Over 2.5 Goals – YES ?
  Given Brentford’s high-scoring home wins and both sides’ defensive vulnerabilities, three or more goals seem very likely.
• Both Teams to Score – YES ?
  Brentford’s defensive record at home (16/17 games conceding) and United’s knack for late goals support this call.
• Goal Before Half-Time – YES ?
  Brentford home matches often start energetically, and with both sides prone to conceding early, expect action before the break.

Final Word

This is a match between two teams with more firepower than structure. Brentford will view it as a chance to climb higher, while United are simply trying to finish the season without further embarrassment. Expect a chaotic, end-to-end affair with goals for both sides – and possibly a result that leaves Erik ten Hag with more questions than answers.

14:00 – Brighton v Newcastle – 2.30 Newcastle
Premier League Preview: Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United
Venue: American Express Stadium
Date: Sunday
Kick-off: [TBC]

As the Premier League season enters its final stretch, Brighton & Hove Albion welcome Newcastle United to the Amex in a clash between two teams still harbouring ambitions of European qualification – albeit at very different ends of the continental spectrum.

Brighton’s late flurry against West Ham last weekend, with two goals after the 85th minute to seal a dramatic 3-2 win, might just have reignited their fading hopes. The victory ended a five-game winless run (D2, L3), and though they remain nine points adrift of the Europa League spots, momentum is back on their side.

For Newcastle, the mission is clearer – and bigger. With a 3-0 win over Ipswich last time out, the Magpies cemented their place in the top three and are now just a handful of matches away from sealing a return to the Champions League. They’ve hit a rich vein of form at exactly the right time, winning five of their last six league fixtures and scoring freely in the process.

Despite their contrasting recent trajectories, Brighton have had Newcastle’s number this season. The Seagulls have already defeated them twice – in the Premier League and a cup clash – and are now eyeing a rare triple over the Toon, something they haven’t achieved since the 2009/10 campaign against Wycombe.

? Key Match Stats

• Brighton have scored in both halves in each of their last 3 matches.
• Newcastle have scored before half-time in 7 consecutive league games.
• 91% of Newcastle’s league matches this season featured at least 1 first-half goal.
• Brighton have scored before half-time in their last 4 games.
• Each of Brighton’s last 5 games have seen over 2.5 goals.
• Each of Newcastle’s last 7 games have also seen 3+ total goals.
• Brighton have drawn 4 of their last 6 home games vs Newcastle.
• Isak (Newcastle) has 22 Premier League goals – the most since Shearer in 2003/04.
• Kaoru Mitoma is on a scoring streak, with 2 goals in 2 games and looking for a third.
• Red cards have featured in each of the last 3 meetings between these sides.
• Newcastle have won 8 away matches this season but have struggled against Brighton recently.

? Tactical Overview & Storylines

Brighton are a high-tempo attacking unit, often creating chaos in transition and overwhelming sides with movement and width. Their recent home games have been thrilling spectacles, and with players like Mitoma, João Pedro, and Welbeck all contributing goals, they remain dangerous.

Newcastle, meanwhile, blend power and precision, with Isak the focal point of a team that often flies out of the blocks. Only Arsenal have led more games at halftime this season, a stat that underlines their sharp starts. However, Isak’s form away from home has cooled – he hasn’t scored on the road in the league since January.

History might favour Brighton in the head-to-heads, but recent form, especially defensively, suggests they’ll need more than tradition to stop Newcastle’s momentum. That said, Eddie Howe’s side must beware a Seagulls team that has rediscovered its fight.

? Betting Conclusions

• Over 2.5 Goals – YES ?
  With both teams averaging high-scoring games lately (Brighton’s last 5 and Newcastle’s last 7 all clearing 2.5 goals), this looks very likely.
• Both Teams to Score – YES ?
  Both sides are in scoring form, and Brighton’s recent record of scoring in both halves, combined with Newcastle’s early-goal record, supports this pick.
• Goal Before Half-Time – YES ?
  Newcastle have scored early consistently, and Brighton have done the same recently. This feels like a strong call based on current form and H2H rhythm.

? Final Thoughts

Brighton will be eager to extend their good record against Newcastle and end their home campaign with style, while the visitors know that any slip-up could be costly in the chase for Europe’s top prize. Expect an open, high-energy affair where both teams find the net and the attacking talent on both sides lights up the Amex.

14:00 – West Ham v Tottenham – 2.25 West Ham
Premier League Preview: West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur
Venue: London Stadium
Date: Sunday
Kick-off: [TBC]

Two out-of-form London rivals meet in what could be a chaotic and entertaining encounter, as West Ham United welcome Tottenham Hotspur to the London Stadium. Though both teams are clear of relegation danger, pride, position, and local bragging rights are on the line.

West Ham’s season has unraveled in recent weeks, their 3-2 defeat to Brighton marking a seventh consecutive league game without a win. Defensively fragile and unable to hold onto leads, the Hammers have been vulnerable both home and away. Their only solace has been their ability to consistently score, particularly thanks to Jarrod Bowen and Tomáš Soucek.

Tottenham’s woes are arguably worse. Crushed 5-1 by Liverpool in their last outing, Spurs have now lost three in a row, and their away form is rapidly deteriorating. They haven’t taken a single point on the road in four matches, and defensively, they’ve conceded two or more goals in each of their last three games.

Despite both teams’ current struggles, the fixture rarely fails to deliver entertainment — and based on the stats, this meeting should be no different.

? Key Match Stats

• West Ham have failed to win any of their last 7 Premier League matches (D3, L4).
• Tottenham have lost 5 of their last 6 league matches.
• West Ham have conceded in 15 of their 17 home games.
• Tottenham have conceded in 15 of their 17 home matches, and in 9 straight games overall.
• Spurs have lost 4 consecutive away games.
• West Ham have scored in 15 of their 17 away games – but just 1 win in last 5 home matches.
• Both teams have scored in 8 of the last 10 H2H meetings.
• At least one first-half goal has been scored in 88% of Tottenham games this season.
• There have been more goals in the first half in each of Tottenham’s last 3 matches.
• 68% of Tottenham games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
• Jarrod Bowen has scored in his last 2 home appearances for West Ham.

?? Match Dynamics

Both teams are defensively porous but capable in attack — the recipe for a goal-laden derby. Tottenham will likely look to their creative trio of Maddison, Johnson, and Solanke to exploit the Hammers’ high line, while West Ham’s direct style and aerial threat from Soucek and Bowen can trouble a shaky Spurs back line.

Tottenham’s collapse at Anfield is cause for concern, but not entirely surprising given how open they’ve been in recent weeks. Ange Postecoglou’s side continues to play expansive football even when leaking goals, which creates an environment for end-to-end encounters — particularly against a team like West Ham who are equally chaotic at the back.

? Betting Conclusions

• Over 2.5 Goals – YES ?
  Both teams have seen plenty of high-scoring matches lately, and their defensive records are among the worst in the league in recent weeks. Tottenham’s 68% over 2.5 record combined with West Ham’s consistent conceding makes this a strong pick.
• Both Teams to Score – YES ?
  The H2H record supports this (8 of last 10 saw both sides net), and with both defences struggling to keep clean sheets, expect goals at both ends again.
• Goal Before Half-Time – YES ?
  Spurs have seen early goals in almost every game, and West Ham often start brightly at home. Tottenham’s trend of more goals in the first half also adds weight to this conclusion.

? Final Word

It may not be a meeting between two sides in good form, but West Ham vs Tottenham is shaping up to be one of the more unpredictable and goal-heavy fixtures of the weekend. Expect mistakes, moments of quality, and possibly some fireworks as both teams try to salvage some pride in a campaign that’s fizzled out for both.

16:30 – Chelsea v Liverpool – 2.10 Chelsea

Premier League Preview: Chelsea vs Liverpool
Venue: Stamford Bridge
Date: Sunday
Kick-off: [TBC]

The Premier League title race may be settled, but there’s still plenty on the line at Stamford Bridge as Chelsea host newly crowned champions Liverpool. While the Reds have the luxury of playing pressure-free football with the trophy already secured, Chelsea are embroiled in a tense battle for Champions League qualification, making this clash a must-win for the Blues.

Mauricio Pochettino’s side edged out Everton 1-0 in their last league outing, stretching their unbeaten run to five matches (W3, D2). Their form at Stamford Bridge has been particularly strong, with Chelsea going eight matches unbeaten at home and scoring in 16 straight home games. However, their record against Liverpool is far from inspiring — they’ve failed to beat the Reds in any of the last 10 league meetings, including six consecutive home draws.

Liverpool, on the other hand, enter this fixture with the confidence of champions. Their 5-1 dismantling of Tottenham last week was their third straight victory, and they have scored in 30 consecutive matches. Jürgen Klopp’s men have also been outstanding away from home, scoring in every one of their 17 away fixtures and winning 11 of them. Salah leads the line with 28 goals and continues to be the Premier League’s most dangerous forward.

This fixture has a history of tactical stalemates, but with Chelsea desperate for points and Liverpool in free-scoring form, we may finally see a break from the usual pattern.

? Key Match Stats

• Chelsea have scored in 16 of their last 17 home matches and in each of their last 16 at Stamford Bridge.
• Chelsea are unbeaten in 8 home games, but have drawn 6 straight home matches vs Liverpool.
• Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 15 home matches, winning the last 7.
• Liverpool have scored in every away game this season (17/17).
• Liverpool have scored in both halves in 56% of all matches, and 59% of away games.
• 82% of Liverpool’s games have seen at least one first-half goal.
• Chelsea haven’t beaten Liverpool in the league since March 2021 (D6, L4 since).
• 9 of the last 10 Chelsea vs Liverpool games at Stamford Bridge have had an even number of goals.
• Liverpool have scored first in their last 5 away games.
• Salah (28 goals) is the Premier League’s top scorer.
• Cole Palmer (14 goals) leads Chelsea’s scoring charts.

?? Tactical View

Chelsea will likely approach this match with urgency, knowing that dropped points could derail their Champions League ambitions. Expect Cole Palmer to play a key creative role, drifting into spaces to test Liverpool’s high line. The Blues have been clinical at home but remain vulnerable at the back — they’ve conceded in 12 of 17 home games.

Liverpool, despite having sealed the title, are showing no signs of easing off. With Salah in lethal form and support from Jones, Díaz, and Núñez, they are capable of tearing through Chelsea’s backline, especially in transition. Their ability to score in both halves makes them dangerous throughout the 90 minutes.

Despite Chelsea’s recent home form, Liverpool’s relentless attack and historic edge in this fixture give them a clear psychological advantage.

? Betting Conclusions

• Over 2.5 Goals – YES ?
  Both teams have attacking firepower, and Liverpool’s consistent scoring makes this likely. Chelsea’s home scoring record adds further weight.
• Both Teams to Score – YES ?
  Liverpool have scored in 30 straight games, and Chelsea have netted in 16 consecutive home matches. Both sides should contribute.
• Goal Before Half-Time – YES ?
  With 82% of Liverpool games featuring first-half goals and both sides typically fast starters, expect early action.

? Final Word

A match between two historically evenly matched sides — but this time the stakes are imbalanced. Chelsea are chasing Europe, and Liverpool are enjoying their reign, making this clash a blend of urgency and freedom. Expect goals, drama, and possibly the end of the six-match home draw streak between these two.