Over 2.5 goals stats
Season Long top 5 % wise : Wolves 80% ; Brentford 76% ; Aston Villa 75% ; Leicester 75% ; Man City 71%
Today’s teams last 8 matches momentum : Everton ( New manager so watch out) 25% ; Aston Villa 88% ; Leicester 88% ; Crystal Palace 50% ; Newcastle 75%; Wolves 88% ; Arsenal 38% ; Tottenham 62%
Home side’s Home % Everton 44% ; Leicester 60% ; Newcastle 44% ; Arsenal 44%
Away side’s Away % Aston Villa 89% ; Crystal Palace 56% ; Wolves 80% ; Tottenham 56%
How I use these? E.g. Brentford v Man City is 0-0 at halftime. Look at the stats and see the %. Brentford and Man City were prominent % wise yesterday. Final score….2-2, You could have backed over 2.5 goals 2nd half or layed the draw to cash out if the fav ( City) scored first.
English Premier League
19:30 – Everton v Aston Villa – 2.30 Aston Villa
- Everton will be under the guidance of a familiar face when they welcome Aston Villa to Goodison Park on Wednesday. The Toffees are enduring a tough period, having not won in their last five Premier League matches. With just 17 points and only a point above the relegation zone, new manager David Moyes has his work cut out for him. Moyes, who managed Everton for over a decade, takes over from Sean Dyche following his sacking after a disappointing 2-0 win against Peterborough United in the FA Cup.
- Moyes returns to an Everton side that has struggled for goals, drawing blanks in eight of their last ten league matches. While the Toffees will be hoping for a ‘new manager bounce’, they face a tough challenge against an Aston Villa side that is in solid form, having won three of their last five matches. Villa’s recent record against Everton is impressive, with the Birmingham club unbeaten in their last 11 league encounters, winning eight and drawing three.
- However, Villa’s recent away form may give Everton a glimmer of hope. Aston Villa have lost their last five away league matches, and they’ve been conceding freely on the road, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last 11 league games away from Villa Park. This is a crucial statistic for an Everton team that has struggled to find the back of the net but can still capitalize on Villa’s defensive vulnerabilities.
- Key Players to Watch: For Everton, much will depend on the form of Beto, who has scored in two of his last three starts for club and country. With key forwards Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Armando Broja, and Youssef Chermiti potentially sidelined, Beto will need to step up and deliver the goals. On the other side, Villa’s Ross Barkley, a former Everton player, has a solid record against his former club, having only lost once in his nine encounters with them.
- Head-to-Head: The last meeting between these two sides in September saw Aston Villa come out on top with a 3-2 win at Villa Park. Villa’s Ollie Watkins and Jhon Durán both found the net, while Everton’s Dwight McNeil and Calvert-Lewin responded for the Toffees. Aston Villa’s dominance over Everton in recent years is clear, and they will aim to continue that trend with another positive result at Goodison Park.
- Recent Form: Everton’s recent form has been poor, with just one win in their last five league matches. Villa, on the other hand, have been strong in their domestic fixtures, sitting in eighth place with 32 points. Aston Villa will be looking to bounce back from their recent away defeats and secure all three points against an Everton side that has failed to score in several matches this season.
- Betting Insights:
- Over 2.5 goals: Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games recently, especially Villa, who have seen three or more goals in their last seven matches. With Everton’s recent struggles in front of goal but Villa’s leaky defense, this match could see more than two goals.
- Both teams to score: Aston Villa’s tendency to concede goals on the road combined with Everton’s attacking issues suggests that both teams might find the back of the net.
- First half goal: With both teams coming off inconsistent performances, expect a nervy start. However, goals in the first half could be a possibility, given the attacking potential of both sides.
- Conclusion and Prediction: Aston Villa’s strong head-to-head record and current form make them the favorites heading into this clash. Everton may struggle to contain Villa’s attacking threats, and with their own goal-scoring issues, it’s difficult to see them getting a win here.
- Possible Winner: Aston Villa
- Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 to Aston Villa
- Key Stats:
- Everton have failed to score in 5 of their 9 home matches this season.
- Aston Villa have lost their last 5 away matches in the Premier League.
- Aston Villa have scored 3 or more goals in each of their last 7 games.
- Everton have drawn blanks in 8 of their last 10 league matches.
- Aston Villa have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 visits to Goodison Park.
- Moyes has lost just 7 personal H2Hs against Aston Villa (W13, D14).
19:30 – Leicester v Crystal Palace – 1.95 Crystal Palace
- Leicester City are struggling in the Premier League, sitting in 19th place with just 14 points, two points from safety. They come into this match hoping to snap a six-match winless streak in the league. The Foxes did pick up a morale-boosting 6-2 victory in the FA Cup over QPR, but their form in the Premier League has been poor, with five consecutive losses before their 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa most recently. At home, Leicester have not won in their last three league games and will be desperate to turn that around against Crystal Palace.
- Crystal Palace, on the other hand, are in better form, having gone unbeaten in their last three league matches (W2, D1). They sit in 15th place, with 21 points, and will be looking to extend their unbeaten streak, especially away from home, where they have been solid with no losses in their last five league matches. Their last away defeat came in October 2024 at Nottingham Forest.
- The two sides met earlier this season in a 2-2 draw at Selhurst Park, with Leicester’s Jamie Vardy and Stephy Mavididi scoring, while Jean-Philippe Mateta netted twice for Palace. In recent history, Palace have been the stronger side in this fixture, unbeaten in their last three Premier League meetings with Leicester.
- Key Players to Watch: Leicester will look to their talisman Jamie Vardy to lead the attack. He has been their top scorer this season with six goals, and two of those were the opening goals in Premier League matches. Crystal Palace’s Jean-Philippe Mateta, who scored twice against Leicester in their earlier meeting, will be a key threat for the visitors.
- Head-to-Head: Leicester have struggled against Crystal Palace in recent encounters, failing to win any of the last three Premier League meetings. In their last match at King Power Stadium in April 2022, the Foxes were defeated 2-1. Crystal Palace will be confident heading into this fixture with a strong away record.
- Recent Form: Leicester have had a tough run of results in the Premier League, drawing one and losing five of their last six matches. On home soil, they have only won two out of their last ten league games. In contrast, Crystal Palace have been on a solid run, winning two and drawing three of their last five away matches.
- Betting Insights:
- Over 2.5 goals: Leicester’s matches have seen an average of 2.5+ goals this season, with 75% of their games having more than two goals. Crystal Palace have also been involved in high-scoring games recently, so expect more than two goals in this fixture.
- Both teams to score: Leicester have seen both teams score in 75% of their Premier League games this season, and Palace have also been involved in high-scoring encounters, making this a strong possibility.
- First half goal: Leicester’s recent home games have seen a goal in the first half in each of their last 12 matches, making a first-half goal likely in this encounter.
- Conclusion and Prediction: With Leicester in dire need of a win and Palace looking to extend their unbeaten streak, this match is expected to be competitive. However, Palace’s strong recent away form and Leicester’s defensive struggles suggest the visitors may come out on top.
- Possible Winner: Crystal Palace
- Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 to Crystal Palace
- Key Stats:
- Leicester have failed to win in their last six Premier League matches.
- Leicester have conceded at least two goals in each of their last six matches.
- Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last five away league games (W2, D3).
- Leicester have scored in 8 of their 10 home matches.
- Crystal Palace have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- Leicester have conceded the opening goal in 15 of their 20 matches this season.
19:30 – Newcastle v Wolves – 1.36 Newcastle
- Newcastle United are in scintillating form as they return to Premier League action after a brief hiatus for domestic cup duties. The Magpies are riding an impressive eight-match winning streak, five of which have come in the league. This strong run has propelled them into fifth place in the Premier League, just one point behind Chelsea in fourth. Newcastle are eyeing a sixth straight league win, something they haven’t achieved since 2022, and they are in good position to continue their push for a top-four finish.
- However, while Newcastle have won their last two home league matches, their previous attempts at consecutive home wins have ended in draws. In fact, in their last three instances of securing back-to-back home wins, they followed up with a 1-1 draw. This trend could make for a closely contested match, and history suggests that the fixture between Newcastle and Wolves tends to produce draws, with 11 of the 19 previous Premier League encounters between the two sides ending all square.
- Wolves, meanwhile, are battling to avoid relegation, sitting in 17th place with 16 points. After a disappointing 3-0 loss to Nottingham Forest in their last league match, the team is hoping to bounce back. Manager Vítor Pereira has started to show positive signs in the league, with two wins, one draw, and one loss in his four matches in charge. Wolves’ main concern, however, is their away form, as they have only kept one clean sheet on the road since January 2024. Their defensive vulnerabilities will be tested against a potent Newcastle attack that has scored in every match for the past eight games.
- Newcastle defeated Wolves 2-1 in their earlier encounter this season at Molineux, with Fabian Schär and Harvey Barnes scoring for the Magpies, while Mario Lemina netted for Wolves. The Magpies have been dominant in recent meetings with Wolves, going unbeaten in the last six Premier League matches between the two sides, and they are favorites to extend that run.
- Key Players to Watch: For Newcastle, Alexander Isak has been in sensational form, scoring 13 goals this season, making him one of the top scorers in the league. His ability to find the net will be crucial in this match. Wolves will look to Matheus Cunha, who has 10 goals this season, as their main attacking threat.
- Recent Form: Newcastle have been in excellent form with five wins and one loss in their last six league matches, while Wolves have won two, drawn one, and lost three during the same period. At home, Newcastle are unbeaten in their last three Premier League matches, while Wolves have struggled on the road, with two wins, three draws, and five losses away from home.
- Betting Insights:
- Over 2.5 goals: Newcastle’s matches have often been high-scoring affairs, with three or more goals in each of their last five home matches. Wolves have also been involved in matches with over 2.5 goals, with similar high-scoring trends away from home.
- Both teams to score: Given Wolves’ attacking capabilities and Newcastle’s solid form in front of goal, both teams to score is a strong possibility in this match.
- First half goal: Both teams have been involved in games with first-half goals, and with Newcastle’s recent run of scoring before halftime in their last 10 fixtures, this is another likely outcome.
- Conclusion and Prediction: With Newcastle’s impressive form and Wolves’ struggles away from home, the Magpies are favorites to continue their winning streak. However, Wolves have the potential to cause an upset, and with Newcastle’s tendency to draw after consecutive home wins, a tight contest could be on the cards.
- Possible Winner: Newcastle United
- Correct Score Prediction: 3-1 to Newcastle United
- Key Stats:
- Newcastle have won their last 5 matches in a row.
- Newcastle have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- Newcastle have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 7 matches.
- Wolves have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- Wolves have lost 7 of their 10 away matches.
- There have been 3 or more goals in each of Newcastle United’s last 5 home games.
- Wolves have conceded at least one goal in 8 of their 10 away matches.
20:00 – Arsenal v Tottenham – 1.40 Arsenal
- Derby!
- The 211th North London derby will have significant implications for both Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur, especially as the race for a top-four finish heats up. Arsenal, sitting second in the Premier League with 40 points, will look to maintain their pursuit of leaders Liverpool. Spurs, currently in 12th place on 24 points, find themselves in a difficult position, 11 points behind fifth-place Newcastle and struggling for consistency.
Arsenal’s Recent Form
Arsenal remain undefeated at home in the Premier League this season (W6, D3), though their last home outing ended in disappointment when they were knocked out of the FA Cup by Manchester United on penalties. Despite this, they’ve been defensively solid at the Emirates, keeping four consecutive clean sheets in the league. The Gunners’ home dominance extends to their record in recent derbies, where they’ve been unbeaten in their last 13 league meetings against Tottenham at the Emirates (W8, D5).
Manager Mikel Arteta has a strong recent record against Spurs, winning six of his last eight matches against them, including a 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season, thanks to Gabriel Magalhães’ goal. Arsenal will be looking to extend their impressive home run and keep their momentum in the league as they aim to stay within striking distance of the top spot.
Tottenham’s Struggles
Tottenham, under manager Ange Postecoglou, have endured a turbulent season, especially in away matches. Spurs have won only two of their last eight away matches in all competitions, with a dismal record of one win, one draw, and five losses in their last seven Premier League games on the road. Their last Premier League encounter saw a 2-1 defeat to Newcastle, and they have failed to win any of their last six league matches.
Despite their struggles, Tottenham will hope to have Richarlison available for selection, as he has been sidelined for several weeks. However, fatigue from their FA Cup win against non-league Tamworth may affect their performance here, especially given the added pressure of a high-stakes derby.
Key Players to Watch
Arsenal’s Gabriel Magalhães, who scored the only goal in the reverse fixture and is one goal shy of his best-ever season tally, will be crucial in both defense and attack. Meanwhile, Spurs’ captain Son Heung-min, who has scored four times in his last seven appearances against Arsenal, remains a key threat in attack.
Hot Stats
Both teams have scored in the last six Premier League H2Hs hosted by Arsenal.
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 10 Premier League matches, with a solid defensive record of four consecutive clean sheets at home.
Tottenham have scored in 10 of their 11 away games this season but have conceded in every one of their last 10 away matches.
Nine of the last 10 matches between Arsenal and Tottenham at the Emirates have seen at least two goals in the first half.
Tottenham have conceded two or more goals in each of their last four away matches.
Possible Outcome
Given Arsenal’s strong home form and Tottenham’s struggles on the road, it’s likely that the Gunners will continue their dominance in this fixture. Arsenal’s recent unbeaten run and solid defense make them favorites to win this encounter.
Prediction: Arsenal 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur.
Key Betting Insights
Over 2.5 goals: Arsenal’s recent home matches have consistently seen high-scoring games, and Tottenham have a history of high-scoring fixtures.
Both teams to score: Both sides have found the net in recent North London derbies, and Spurs’ attacking players are capable of scoring against Arsenal’s defense.
First half goal: Given the attacking nature of both teams, expect a goal to come in the first half, as has been the trend in recent meetings.
Summary of Key Stats
Arsenal are undefeated in their last 10 Premier League matches.
Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
Tottenham have conceded at least 2 goals in each of their last 4 away games.
Both teams have scored in the last 6 Premier League H2Hs hosted by Arsenal.
9 of the last 10 matches between Arsenal and Tottenham at the Emirates have seen at least two goals in the first half.