Sunday 26th January 2025 Football Trading Research

English Premier League

Over 2.5 goals :

Season Long :Crystal Palace 41% ; Brentford 73% ; Tottenham 73%; Leicester 68% ; Aston Villa 73% ; West Ham 59% ; Fulham 55% ; Man Utd 64% ;

Last 8 matches : Crystal Palace 50% ; Brentford 62% ; Tottenham 88% ; Leicester 62% ; Aston Villa 75% ; West Ham 50% ; Fulham 62% ; Man Utd 75% ;

Home side at home : Crystal Palace 36% ; Tottenham 82% ; Aston Villa 64% ; Fulham 73% ;

Away side away : Brentford 70% ; Leicester 90% ; West Ham 40% ; Man Utd 50%

Brentford, Tottenham and Aston Villa season long. Tottenham, Aston Villa and Man Utd recenttly. Tottenham and Fulham at home . Brentford and Leicester away.

Brentford and Tottenham keep getting mentioned where overs is concerned. Aston Villa next best.

14:00 – Crystal Palace v Brentford – 2.05 Crystal Palace

  • Crystal Palace host Brentford at Selhurst Park on Sunday in what promises to be an intriguing Premier League matchup. The Eagles are in strong form, while the Bees will look to shake off their recent struggles. With both sides separated by just one point in the standings, this clash could have significant implications for their respective mid-table ambitions.
    Current Form and Team Overview
    Crystal Palace:
    The Eagles are on a five-match unbeaten run in the league, which includes back-to-back 2-0 victories over Leicester City and West Ham. Their recent form has helped them move clear of the relegation battle, and they now sit 12th with 27 points. Crystal Palace’s defense has been solid, keeping clean sheets in their last three matches.
    Jean-Philippe Mateta has been a key figure in attack, scoring in consecutive games, and has eight goals this season, including four match-openers.
    Brentford:
    The Bees are struggling for consistency, with just one win in their last nine matches across all competitions (D2, L6). Their recent 2-0 loss to Liverpool highlighted their issues on the road, as Brentford have only managed one victory in 10 away league games this season.
    Bryan Mbeumo remains their most dangerous player, having scored 13 goals this season, six of which were the opening strikes in matches.
    Head-to-Head Record
    Brentford hold the edge in recent encounters, having defeated Crystal Palace 2-1 earlier this season at Gtech Community Stadium. However, Selhurst Park has not been kind to the Bees, as they are winless in their last six visits (D3, L3).
    Key Match Insights
    Crystal Palace have drawn four of their last six matches against Brentford.
    Brentford have scored in 82% of their Premier League games this season, including their last five meetings with Crystal Palace.
    Crystal Palace have conceded first in eight of their 11 home league matches but have kept clean sheets in their last three games.
    Brentford have lost five of their last six Sunday Premier League matches.
    Both teams have seen fewer than three goals in Crystal Palace’s last four matches.

    Predictions and Betting Angles
    Crystal Palace’s strong defensive form and home advantage make them slight favorites in this match. Brentford’s poor away record and lack of momentum suggest a tough outing for the visitors.
    Predicted Winner: Crystal Palace (1-0 or 2-1).
    Correct Score: 2-0 to Crystal Palace.
    Betting Angles:Both Teams to Score: Yes – Crystal Palace and Brentford have scored in their last five meetings.
    Over 2.5 Goals: No – Palace’s recent games have been low-scoring affairs.
    First Half Goal: Yes – Brentford have seen first-half goals in 82% of their games this season.

    Key Stats Summary
    Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last five Premier League matches.
    Brentford are winless in their last six visits to Selhurst Park.
    Palace have kept three consecutive clean sheets in the league.
    Brentford have lost seven of their 10 away league matches.
    Both teams have scored in their last five meetings.
    Fewer than three goals have been scored in each of Palace’s last four games.

    Betting Breakdown
    Over 2.5 Goals: No – Crystal Palace’s games have recently been low-scoring.
    Both Teams to Score: Yes – Both teams have scored in their last five encounters.
    First Half Goal: Yes – 82% of Brentford’s games this season have featured a first-half goal.

14:00 – Tottenham v Leicester – 1.44 Tottenham

  • Leicester City travel to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday as both teams aim to end their respective Premier League winless streaks. Leicester have gone eight games without a victory, while Spurs are winless in their last six matches. This clash could be pivotal for both sides to regain momentum in a challenging season.
  • Current FormTottenham Hotspur: Spurs sit 15th in the table with 24 points, having scored 45 goals and conceded 35 in 22 matches. Despite a promising start, they have struggled recently, losing five of their last six games. Their most recent outing was a 3-2 defeat against Everton at Goodison Park. Spurs also haven’t won at home in their last six Premier League matches.
  • Leicester City: The Foxes are in 19th place with 14 points, two points from safety. They are on a dismal eight-match winless streak, including a 2-0 loss to Fulham in their last match. Leicester have struggled on the road, managing just one win, two draws, and seven losses away from home this season.
  • Head-to-HeadThe last meeting between the two sides ended in a 1-1 draw at King Power Stadium. Pedro Porro scored for Spurs, while Jamie Vardy equalized for Leicester. Notably, both teams have scored in their last six meetings, highlighting the attacking potential on both sides.
  • Key PlayersTottenham Hotspur: James Maddison leads the team with eight goals this season, supported by Dominic Solanke and Brennan Johnson, who have scored seven each.
  • Leicester City: Jamie Vardy remains Leicester’s top scorer with six goals. Jordan Ayew and Facundo Buonanotte have also chipped in with four goals apiece.
  • Betting InsightsOver 2.5 Goals: There have been three or more goals in total in each of Leicester’s last five away games. Tottenham’s matches this season have seen over 2.5 goals 73% of the time.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Both teams have scored in 80% of Leicester’s away games and 73% of Tottenham’s matches this season.
  • First Half Goals: At least one first-half goal has been scored in 82% of Leicester’s games this season. Spurs have also seen both teams score before halftime in 55% of their home matches.
  • Key StatsTottenham have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 home matches.
  • Leicester have conceded in their last 17 games and have allowed two or more goals in each of their last eight matches.
  • Spurs’ home form: 14 points from 11 matches (2 wins, 8 losses, 1 draw).
  • Leicester’s away form: 1 win in 10 matches, with six consecutive away losses.
  • Penalty awarded in 6 of the last 10 meetings between these teams at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
  • Match PredictionGiven the form of both teams and their defensive vulnerabilities, this match is likely to feature goals. Spurs’ home advantage and Leicester’s poor away record make Tottenham slight favorites.
  • Predicted Winner: Tottenham Hotspur
  • Correct Score: 3-2 to Tottenham Hotspur
  • Betting Angles:
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Both Teams to Score
  • At least one First Half Goal
  • Summary of Key StatsOver 2.5 Goals: 73% of Tottenham’s matches; Leicester’s last 5 away games.
  • Both Teams to Score: Last 6 meetings; 80% of Leicester’s away games.
  • First Half Goals: 82% of Leicester’s matches; 55% of Spurs’ home games.
  • Tottenham’s Defensive Record: No clean sheet in 10 home matches.
  • Leicester’s Defensive Record: Conceded in 17 straight games.

16:30 – Aston Villa v West Ham – 1.57 Aston Villa

  • Aston Villa will aim to extend their impressive unbeaten run in the Premier League to five matches when they host West Ham United at Villa Park this Sunday. The Villans currently occupy eighth place with 36 points, trailing fifth-placed Manchester City by just two points, while West Ham sits in 14th position on 26 points, 12 points off the Europa League spots.
  • Recent FormAston Villa come into the match on the back of a 2-2 draw against Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium, a result that extended their unbeaten run in the league to four matches. Unai Emery’s men have also enjoyed a 10-match unbeaten streak at home, showcasing their dominance at Villa Park.
  • West Ham, on the other hand, suffered a 2-0 defeat to Crystal Palace in their previous league outing, highlighting their struggles under new manager Graham Potter. The Hammers have won just two of their last six league matches and failed to register a shot on target against Palace.
  • Head-to-Head RecordVilla have had the upper hand in recent encounters, remaining unbeaten in their last five meetings with West Ham in all competitions (W3, D2). Their last Premier League clash saw Villa secure a 2-1 victory at London Stadium, with goals from Amadou Onana and Jhon Durán, while Lucas Paquetá scored a penalty for the Hammers.
  • Key PlayersOllie Watkins continues to shine for Aston Villa, having scored 10 goals this season and contributing to three goals in his last four matches. The forward also boasts an impressive record against West Ham, with four goals in 10 previous meetings.
  • For West Ham, Tomás Soucek and Jarrod Bowen have been crucial, each scoring five goals this season. Bowen’s potential return from injury offers a glimmer of hope for the Hammers, although he’s unlikely to feature in this match.
  • Team InsightsAston Villa have been formidable at home, winning six, drawing four, and losing just one of their 11 league matches at Villa Park this season. Their unbeaten home streak stretches back to September 2024. However, defensive lapses remain a concern, with Villa conceding in nine of their 11 home games.
  • West Ham have struggled for consistency away from home, recording three wins, three draws, and four losses in 10 matches on the road. Despite these struggles, the Hammers have scored in nine of their last 10 away fixtures but have managed to score multiple goals in only one of their last 11 away matches.
  • Betting Insights and PredictionsOver 2.5 Goals: 73% of Villa’s matches this season have featured over 2.5 goals.
  • Both Teams to Score: Both teams have scored in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head encounters.
  • First Half Goal: Villa have conceded 32% of their goals after the 75th minute, but they often see action in the first half as well.
  • Given Villa’s dominant home form and West Ham’s defensive vulnerabilities, a 2-1 victory for Aston Villa seems a likely outcome. Expect Watkins to be instrumental in Villa’s attack, while West Ham’s Paquetá could provide a threat from midfield.
  • Key StatsAston Villa are unbeaten in their last 10 home matches.
  • 73% of Villa’s matches this season have had over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams have scored in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings.
  • West Ham have scored in nine of their last 10 away matches.
  • Villa have conceded in nine of their 11 home matches this season.
  • West Ham have conceded two or more goals in their last four matches.
  • Scanned InsightsOver 2.5 Goals: 73% of Villa’s matches this season.
  • Both Teams to Score: Both teams have scored in 10 of the last 11 H2Hs.
  • First Half Goal: Villa and West Ham games typically feature early action.

19:00 – Fulham v Man Utd – 2.30 Fulham

  • Fulham will host Manchester United at Craven Cottage on Sunday in a Premier League clash, with both teams eager to improve their recent form. Fulham currently sit in 10th place on 33 points, just five points shy of the Europa League spots. Manchester United, on the other hand, find themselves in 13th place with 26 points and in dire need of a turnaround as they sit 12 points away from European qualification.
  • Current Form and Recent Results
  • Fulham come into the match after breaking a three-match winless streak with an impressive 2-0 victory over Leicester City at the King Power Stadium. The Cottagers have displayed resilience at Craven Cottage, going unbeaten in their last five home matches (W1, D4). However, they have struggled to convert draws into wins.
  • Manchester United suffered a 3-1 home defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion in their previous Premier League outing, extending a poor run of form with just one win in their last five league matches. Away from Old Trafford, United have managed only two wins in 10 league games this season (W2, D4, L4), highlighting their struggles on the road.
  • Head-to-Head Record
  • The last Premier League meeting between these sides ended in a 1-0 win for Manchester United at Old Trafford, with Joshua Zirkzee scoring a late winner in the 87th minute. Historically, United have dominated this fixture, with Fulham failing to win any of their last eight home matches against them.
  • Key Players to Watch
  • Fulham: Raúl Jiménez has been the standout performer for the hosts, scoring eight goals this season, with six of those being the first goal of the match. Alex Iwobi has also impressed with seven goals, three of which have been match-openers. Fulham have shown attacking prowess, scoring in each of their last 10 away matches and in 10 of their 11 home games.
  • Manchester United: Amad Diallo, Bruno Fernandes, and Marcus Rashford have been United’s top contributors in attack, netting six, five, and four goals, respectively. However, defensive frailties have been a concern, with United failing to keep a clean sheet in their last nine matches.
  • Betting Angles and Predictions
  • Fulham’s attacking consistency and home form suggest they have a strong chance of taking something from this game. Manchester United’s defensive struggles, combined with their poor away record, make this a challenging fixture for the Red Devils.
  • Predicted Result: A tightly contested match is expected, with Fulham slightly edging it.
  • Correct Score: Fulham 2-1 Manchester United.
  • Betting Angles:
  • Over 2.5 Goals: Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games, and Fulham’s recent form suggests a continuation of this trend.
  • Both Teams to Score: Fulham’s attacking form and United’s defensive vulnerabilities make this a likely outcome.
  • First-Half Goal: With Fulham scoring in the first half in recent matches, this is a solid option.
  • Key Stats:
  • Fulham have scored in 10 of their 11 home matches this season.
  • Fulham are unbeaten in their last five home Premier League matches (W1, D4).
  • Manchester United have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine matches.
  • Fulham have scored in each of their last 10 away matches and in 10 of their 11 home matches.
  • Raúl Jiménez has scored in 55% of Fulham’s Premier League home games this season.
  • Fulham have scored 35% of their goals after the 75th minute.
  • Manchester United have conceded 62% of their goals in away games.
  • More goals have been scored in the second half of both teams’ recent matches.

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