Check out the Review/Preview Video at www.youtube.com/@footballtradingprofits for more angles
English Premier League
- Over 2.5 goals stats
- SEASON LONG TOP 5 % : Wolves 80% ; Aston Villa 75% ; Leicester 75% ; Brentford 75% ; Man City 70%
- LAST 8 MATCHES : Brentford 75% ; Man City 62% ; Chelsea 62% ; Bournemouth 50% ; West Ham 62% ; Fulham 62% ; Notts Forest 50%; Liverpool 88%
- HOME TEAMS HOME % : Brentford 80% ; Chelsea 56% ; West Ham 80% ; Notts Forest 33%
- AWAY TEAMS AWAY % : Man City 60% ; Bournemouth 70% ; Fulham 33% ; Liverpool 78%
19:30 – Brentford v Man City – 1.61 Man City
- Brentford return to Premier League action on Tuesday after a shock FA Cup exit, losing 1-0 to Championship bottom-club Plymouth Argyle. This result added to a disappointing spell for the Bees, who have just one win in their last seven competitive matches (D1, L5). Although they remain mid-table, their recent form at home is a concern, with three consecutive losses at the Gtech Community Stadium.
- While Brentford’s recent league highlight was a 5-0 demolition of Southampton, goals have been hard to come by otherwise. In six of their last seven matches, the Bees have failed to score more than a single goal. Additionally, they’ve struggled against top-10 sides, securing only two wins from ten games (D1, L7).
- Manchester City arrive in better form, unbeaten in their last four competitive games (W3, D1), including a commanding 8-0 FA Cup victory over Salford City. A win here would mark their first four-game winning streak since October, keeping their European qualification hopes alive. City’s away form against bottom-half teams has been strong, avoiding defeat in all four such matches (W3, D1).
- City have dominated this fixture recently, winning the last three head-to-heads. Their most recent clash ended in a 2-1 victory, with Erling Haaland scoring twice. The Norwegian has 16 league goals this season, including five match-openers, and remains City’s most potent weapon.
- Brentford’s Bryan Mbeumo has been equally vital for his side, with 13 goals, six of which were first-match strikes. The Bees have been formidable at home, collecting 22 points from ten games, but their defensive frailties—failing to keep a clean sheet in 14 consecutive home matches—may cost them against a City side that has scored in nine of their ten away games this season.
- Prediction
- Based on the form and statistics, Manchester City are strong favorites to win. Brentford’s poor home form and defensive vulnerabilities, combined with City’s attacking firepower, suggest an away victory.
- Correct Score: Manchester City 3-1 Brentford
- Betting Angles:
- Over 2.5 Goals: Brentford’s matches have had over 2.5 goals in 75% of cases, and City’s attacking prowess supports this trend.
- Both Teams to Score: With Brentford scoring in most home games and City conceding in 80% of their away matches, this is a likely outcome.
- First Half Goal: City have scored in the first half in their last four games, while Brentford have seen early goals in 40% of their matches this season.
- Key Stats
- Brentford have failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 consecutive home games.
- 75% of Brentford’s matches have had over 2.5 goals.
- Manchester City have scored in both halves in 50% of their league games.
- Erling Haaland has scored 16 league goals, including five match-openers.
- Bryan Mbeumo has scored in 70% of Brentford’s home matches this season.
- Manchester City are unbeaten in their last four games in all competitions.
- Brentford have lost their last three home matches.
19:30 – Chelsea v Bournemouth – 1.57 Chelsea
- The Premier League returns midweek with a clash between Chelsea and Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea are looking to end a four-match winless streak in the league after a 1-1 draw against Crystal Palace extended their struggles. The Blues will be eager to bounce back after a dominant 5-0 FA Cup victory over Morecambe, but it is clear that their league form has not matched their cup performances. Chelsea sit fourth in the table, but they are feeling the pressure as they trail league leaders Liverpool by 10 points.
- On the other hand, Bournemouth are in impressive form, with an unbeaten streak of eight matches across all competitions (W6, D3). The Cherries secured a vital 1-0 victory over Everton in their last league outing, placing them seventh in the table, just two points behind fifth-placed Newcastle United. Bournemouth have found success on the road, where they’ve netted at least two goals in their last five away matches, and their attacking prowess will pose a real threat to Chelsea.
- Chelsea have been dominant in their recent meetings with Bournemouth, winning four of the last five encounters (D1). They also boast an unbeaten record in Tuesday-held Premier League home games since January 2002 (W10, D4), which will give them confidence heading into this match. However, Bournemouth’s strong away form and recent unbeaten run suggest they will provide a tough challenge, and they will look to end their four-match winless streak against the Blues.
- The Cherries will be hoping to break Chelsea’s hold over them in this fixture, with their last league win over Chelsea coming in December 2019. Bournemouth’s top scorer, Justin Kluivert, has netted four goals in his last four away league games, and he will be looking to continue his fine form. Chelsea, meanwhile, will be relying on Cole Palmer, who has been their standout performer with 13 goals this season.
- In terms of match statistics, both teams have shown a tendency to score goals, especially in recent away games for Bournemouth. The Cherries have scored at least two goals in their last five away league matches, while Chelsea have scored in 9 of their last 11 home league matches. This match could very well see goals at both ends, especially given the attacking threats on both sides.
- Conclusion and Betting Insights
- Chelsea will be favorites to win, given their recent dominance over Bournemouth and their strong home form.
- However, Bournemouth’s recent form and attacking prowess make them a dangerous side, and a draw or even an upset win is within their reach.
- A 1-0 or 2-1 Chelsea victory is a likely outcome, considering both teams’ scoring records.
- Key Stats
- Chelsea are unbeaten in their last six Premier League meetings with Bournemouth (W4, D2).
- Bournemouth have scored at least two goals in their last five away league games.
- Chelsea have scored in 9 of their last 11 home league matches.
- Bournemouth have scored in each of their last six away matches.
- Chelsea have won 62% of their home league games this season.
- Bournemouth have scored in 8 of their 10 away league matches this season.
19:30 – West Ham v Fulham – 2.40 Fulham
- London Derby
- New Hammers manager Graham ‘Harry’ Potter
- West Ham United host Fulham at London Stadium on Tuesday, with both teams heading into this fixture under contrasting circumstances. Fulham come into the game in excellent form, unbeaten in their last eight Premier League matches (W3, D5), and are currently in ninth place with 30 points. On the other hand, West Ham are struggling, sitting 14th on 23 points, having lost 4-1 to Manchester City in their last league outing. With only 18 matches remaining in the season, the Hammers are 12 points behind the top five, making this a crucial game for their aspirations of a European spot.
- West Ham’s new manager, Graham Potter, is looking to lift his side’s fortunes after a disappointing 2-1 FA Cup loss to Aston Villa. The injury crisis up front, with key players Michail Antonio, Jarrod Bowen, and Niclas Füllkrug sidelined, has compounded West Ham’s struggles. However, they do have an impressive record against Fulham in recent home matches, with 8 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss in their last 12 H2H encounters. West Ham will be hoping that their strong home form against Fulham continues, especially as they face back-to-back London derbies at home.
- Fulham, managed by Marco Silva, are in a solid run of form, including a 4-1 win over Watford in the FA Cup, and are showing resilience in the league. Their away form has been particularly impressive, with just two losses on the road this season against Manchester City and Manchester United. They’ve been tough to beat away from home, remaining unbeaten in their last five Premier League away games (W3, D2), and will be confident of extending this streak. Fulham have shown a knack for scoring, finding the back of the net in 8 of their 9 away games this season, and they have scored at least two goals in each of their last three matches.
- This London derby promises to be an exciting encounter, with both teams possessing attacking threats. West Ham will rely on the likes of Lucas Paquetá, who scored their only goal against Villa, while Fulham’s Raúl Jiménez, in-form with four goals in his last three games, will lead the charge for the Cottagers.
- Conclusion and Betting Insights
- Given Fulham’s recent unbeaten away form and West Ham’s struggles, Fulham are likely to be the favorites to win this encounter.
- West Ham’s home record against Fulham gives them a slight edge, but without key players, they may struggle to get all three points.
- A 1-1 draw or a 2-1 Fulham victory seems the most likely outcome, with both teams expected to score.
- Key Stats
- West Ham have won 8 of their last 12 home matches against Fulham (D3, L1).
- Fulham have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- West Ham have won only 1 of their last 5 Premier League games.
- Fulham are unbeaten in their last 8 Premier League matches.
- West Ham have conceded in 9 of their 10 home league matches this season.
- Fulham have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 3 games.
- Raúl Jiménez has scored 4 goals in Fulham’s last 3 games.
20:00 – Nottingham Forest v Liverpool – 1.67 Liverpool
- Nottingham Forest will host league leaders Liverpool at the City Ground on Tuesday in what promises to be a thrilling Premier League encounter. Forest, the season’s surprise package, are riding high on a six-game league-winning streak, sitting third in the table, level on points with second-placed Arsenal. Meanwhile, Liverpool remain unbeaten in their last 15 league matches and lead the standings by six points.
- Nottingham Forest: Unstoppable at Home
- Forest have turned the City Ground into a fortress, winning six of their last seven home matches, with five of those victories coming without conceding a goal. Nuno Espírito Santo’s side has proven to be one of the hardest teams to break down, having kept clean sheets in each of their last four league games. The Tricky Trees also boast a potent attack, scoring two or more goals in each of their last four away matches and netting in nine of their 11 away fixtures this season.
- Key to their success has been striker Chris Wood, who leads the team with 12 goals, including eight opening strikes. Callum Hudson-Odoi’s winner in the reverse fixture at Anfield remains one of the highlights of Forest’s campaign. A win here would mark their seventh consecutive league victory, equaling their all-time record.
- Liverpool: The Road Warriors
- Despite a rare stumble in the reverse fixture, Liverpool have dominated the Premier League this season. Arne Slot’s side has won seven of their nine away league games (D2) and remains undefeated on the road, scoring two or more goals in each of their last five away fixtures. The Reds have been prolific, finding the net in all 15 of their league matches this season and scoring 68% of their games with over 2.5 goals.
- Mohamed Salah has been the star performer for Liverpool, netting 18 goals so far, more than any other player in the league. Complementing him is Luis Díaz, who has a knack for scoring early, having opened the scoring in seven of his last eight goal-scoring appearances.
- Head-to-Head
- Forest’s 1-0 victory at Anfield in September was a historic result, as they completed a rare feat against Liverpool, who previously dominated this fixture. Before last season’s 1-0 win at the City Ground, Liverpool had not won any of their prior 13 league visits to Forest.
- Prediction and Betting Angles
- This clash between two in-form sides is difficult to call. Forest’s defensive resilience and Liverpool’s attacking firepower should make for an intriguing contest. Expect both teams to score and for goals to come in both halves, given their scoring trends.
- Predicted Score: Liverpool 2-1 Nottingham Forest
- Key Betting Insights:
- Over 2.5 goals in 68% of Liverpool’s matches this season.
- Both teams have scored in Forest’s last five matches.
- Liverpool have scored in both halves in 58% of their league games this season.
- Forest have scored before half-time in each of their last five fixtures.
- Key Stats:
- Nottingham Forest have won their last six league matches.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 15 Premier League games.
- Forest have kept clean sheets in their last four matches.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in each of their last 12 league matches.
- Chris Wood has scored in 56% of Premier League home games for Forest.
- Salah leads the Premier League with 18 goals this season.