by Clive Keeling // Mar 21st 2026
Welcome to another weekend. It’s hotting up in all leagues, particularly the secondary leagues like the English Championship, French Ligue 2, Spanish Segunda Division, Italian Seria B and German Bundesliga 2.
At this stage of the season, where your success or otherwise is determined by whether you got 3 points, one point or NIL point. Form lines are not wholly sufficient in getting the fuller picture.
Here’s an example of the type of ‘story’ I look for at this stage of the season. Look at Le Mans. Take 3 points from their 50 and you’ll see where they stood prior to last night’s match. 47 points. A win today does what? It takes them to a psychologically important 50 points, and a critical 50 points. The first 2 places are automatic promotion places so the carrot of finishing top 2 is obvious. it avoids the heartache of the play offs.
Knowing that there is a huge carrot ( a Camberwell carrot!!) motivating Le Mans today, traders like me are amply aware of the importance of a win, and will look for Le Mans to react to this.
With the match at 3=3 late on, this is what I look for. a) 3 points changes le Mans season potentially b) we have what I look for at this stage of the season TIME PRESSURE. With the clock ticking down , Le Mans with a late goal will turn a draw into a precious 3 points and a break into the vitally important 50 point barrier.
I teach members to do what I call a 109/106 trade. Lay late and low and capture the hoped for season defining winner
….which le Man obliged with to turn 3=3 into 3=4 and potentially line themselves up for an automatic promotion berth.
Capture a late winner and you can return as much as 10/1 . We have had a few of these this February/March and will continue to have a few more.
With a 14 day risk free trial to www.footballtradingprofits.com , you can learn to engineer these 10/1 returns time and time again!
There’s the usual Premier League research for you today , along with the AI eye. I have now launched the Football Trading Predictor AI App, which I am trialling presently and will pass on to paid members soon.
Have a Great Weekend. There may be a livestream at 14:30 UK so ensure you are subscribed to www.youtube.com/@footballtradingprofits I have not decided yet on a livestream. I am staying in a place with thai neighbours either side of me and a livestream, with a necessary late start, may disturb my hosts
Here’s today’s Review/Preview video with a look at what is an encouragingly big list of ‘Banker’ Bets. These matches have tended to be very readable.
Have a great weekend and if you want my help with your football trading goals, take advantage of your risk free trial at RISK FREE TRIAL. LEARN TO TAKE MONEY FROM FOOTBALL MARKETS
ENGLAND: Premier League
12:30 Brighton v Liverpool – 2.15 Liverpool
• Brighton
• 9 points to a top 5 berth
• 3 wins in 4 matches.
• last 2 home defeats were 0=1 v London opponents
• Liverpool
• break into the 50+ point club with a win.
• LWWL away recently
• only 2 wins v the top 15 away.
Angles: Liverpool's poor away record tempers enthusiasm as far as trusting them. Brighton do have winning form coming into this match.
ENGLAND: Premier League
15:00 Fulham v Burnley – 1.53 Fulham
• Fulham
• WLWL recently at home.
• no draw in 5 at home
• conceded last 6 at home
• WWLWWWLW at home v 12th and lower.
• Burnley
• only 1 win since 1st November
• conceded last 15 away.
Angles: a chance to challenge for 7th place for Fulham with a win, and they should feel confident with their track record of wins at home v 12th and lower.
ENGLAND: Premier League
17:30 Everton v Chelsea – 2.00 Chelsea
• Everton
•• have failed to beat any top 10 side at home
• 2=0 loss last head to head
• Chelsea
• top 5 place available with 3 points.
• 3 losses in 2026, 2 v London opponents.
• 3 wins in 4 away, scoring 3 goals minimum.
• scored and conceded last 7 away
Angles: on seasonal form, Chelsea may expect to concede but have been scoring 2+ goals in recent away matches. Everton look layable if leading if continuing their struggles at home v the top 10.
ENGLAND: Premier League
20:00 Leeds v Brentford – 2.45 Leeds