Monaco and Dortmund are the first CURSE of the Champions League casualties. Watch today’s Review/Preview video to learn which other teams we need to be wary of today.
Review/Preview :https://youtu.be/ajWDnBRA6r8?si=wAvmEnMlT62CQBVO
Live: From 14:30 today for MEMBERS ONLY but it’s going to be a cautious one today. We should really be laying these Champions League sides particularly if they lead at short odds today.https://youtube.com/live/zAHJfB8pqqY
English Premier League
Over 2.5 goals stats.
Season Long % : Newcastle 57% ; Bournemouth 52% ; Brentford 76% ; Liverpool 65% ; Leicester 71% ; Fulham 57% ; West Ham 62% ; Crystal Palace 43% ; Arsenal 43% ; Aston Villa 71% ;
Last 8 matches % : Newcastle 88% ; Bournemouth 50% ; Brentford 75% ; Liverpool 75% ; Leicester 75% ; Fulham 75% ; West Ham 62% ; Crystal Palace 50% ; Arsenal 38% ; Aston Villa 75% ;
Home sides at home % : Newcastle 50% ; Brentford 82%; Leicester 55% ; West Ham 82% ; Arsenal 50%
Away sides away % : Bournemouth 73%; Liverpool 70% ; Fulham 40% ; Crystal Palace 50% ; Aston Villa 80%
Aston Villa stand out, Brentford stand out,
Champions League Teams : Liverpool , Aston Villa, Arsenal. Just be careful with these teams as they may be vulnerable pre-Champions League.
12:30 – Newcastle v Bournemouth – 1.67 Newcastle
- Newcastle United will host Bournemouth at St. James’ Park on Saturday in a clash between two in-form Premier League sides. Both teams are aiming to extend their impressive runs, with Newcastle chasing a seventh consecutive win and Bournemouth defending a nine-match unbeaten streak.
Current Form and Standings
Newcastle United are in scintillating form, sitting fourth in the table with 38 points, just nine behind league leaders Liverpool. A 3-0 win against Wolverhampton Wanderers in their last outing marked their sixth consecutive victory, solidifying their Champions League ambitions. The Magpies have also been dominant at home, winning 20 out of a possible 30 points from 10 matches.
Bournemouth are eighth in the standings with 34 points, three points behind fifth-placed Chelsea. A 2-2 draw against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge last weekend kept their unbeaten streak alive. The Cherries have proven resilient on the road, going unbeaten in their last five away games and scoring consistently in those fixtures.
Head-to-Head Record
Recent meetings between Newcastle and Bournemouth have been evenly contested, with Bournemouth unbeaten in their last five matches against Newcastle. Their previous encounter ended in a 1-1 draw at Vitality Stadium, where Anthony Gordon and Marcus Tavernier were the scorers. Newcastle’s last league victory over Bournemouth dates back to July 2020.
Player Watch
Alexander Isak has been Newcastle’s talisman, scoring 15 goals this season, including five opening goals. His contributions are pivotal to Newcastle’s attacking strength.
For Bournemouth, Justin Kluivert, Antoine Semenyo, and Evanilson have been the key scorers, with seven, six, and five goals respectively. Bournemouth have also been effective in the latter stages of matches, with 38% of their goals coming after the 75th minute.
Betting Insights and Predictions
Over 2.5 Goals: There have been three or more goals in Newcastle’s last six home matches and Bournemouth’s last six away matches.
Both Teams to Score: Both sides have been prolific in attack, with Newcastle scoring in each of their last nine matches and Bournemouth in their last seven away fixtures.
First Half Goal: Newcastle have seen a first-half goal in their last 11 games and last 20 home games, while Bournemouth have seen the same in their last six away games.
Prediction
Newcastle’s home form and attacking dominance give them the edge, but Bournemouth’s resilience on the road suggests they could pose a challenge. A 3-1 victory for Newcastle appears likely, with both teams finding the net and goals coming in both halves.
Key Stats
Newcastle have scored 2+ goals in each of their last eight matches.
Bournemouth have scored in their last seven away games.
Newcastle have been undefeated in their last six matches.
Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last five away matches.
Alexander Isak has scored in 57% of Newcastle’s Premier League games this season.
Betting Highlights
Over 2.5 Goals: Likely, given both teams’ recent scoring records.
Both Teams to Score: Strong possibility with both sides regularly finding the net.
First Half Goal: High chance based on Newcastle and Bournemouth’s trends.
15:00 – Brentford v Liverpool – 1.53 Liverpool
- Brentford welcome Liverpool to the Gtech Community Stadium on Saturday for an exciting Premier League clash. While Liverpool aim to extend their unbeaten run, Brentford will look to overcome recent struggles and rediscover their form at home.
Current Form and Standings
Liverpool, sitting at the top of the Premier League table, are undefeated in their last 16 matches. A 1-1 draw against Nottingham Forest in their previous outing maintained their six-point lead over second-placed Nottingham. Liverpool have also been exceptional on the road, unbeaten in their 10 away games this season (W7, D3).
In contrast, Brentford are 10th in the standings with 28 points. They trail fifth-placed Newcastle United by seven points and are winless in their last four home games (D1, L3). A 2-2 draw against Manchester City in their previous game offered glimpses of their resilience, but manager Thomas Frank will need a strong performance to counter Liverpool’s dominance.
Head-to-Head Record
Liverpool have dominated recent meetings between the two sides, winning their last four encounters while scoring 10 goals and conceding just one. Their previous Premier League matchup ended 2-0 in Liverpool’s favor, with goals from Luis Díaz and Mohamed Salah. Brentford’s last victory over Liverpool dates back to January 2023.
Players to Watch
Brentford: Bryan Mbeumo has been a standout performer, scoring 13 goals this season, six of which were match openers. His ability to produce key moments could be vital for the Bees.
Liverpool: Mohamed Salah continues to lead the Premier League scoring charts with 18 goals. He has been pivotal in Liverpool’s attack and will look to extend his stellar form.
Betting Insights and Predictions
Over 2.5 Goals: 76% of Brentford’s matches and 70% of Liverpool’s games this season have had over 2.5 goals.
Both Teams to Score: Both sides have been prolific offensively, with Brentford scoring in 10 of their 11 home games and Liverpool netting in all 10 away matches.
First Half Goal: At least one first-half goal has been scored in 85% of Liverpool’s matches and 55% of Brentford’s home games.
Liverpool to Win: With their unbeaten away record and dominance over Brentford in recent years, Liverpool are favored to win.
Prediction
Liverpool’s unbeaten streak and attacking depth give them the edge against a struggling Brentford side. A 3-1 win for Liverpool is the most likely outcome, with goals expected from both teams and a strong possibility of action in both halves.
Key Stats
Liverpool are undefeated in their last 16 Premier League matches.
Brentford have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 15 home games.
Both teams have scored in 55% of Brentford’s home matches this season.
Mohamed Salah has 18 goals this season, leading the league’s scoring charts.
Liverpool have scored in both halves in 55% of their Premier League games.
Betting Highlights
Over 2.5 Goals: Likely, given both teams’ attacking records.
Both Teams to Score: High probability with their consistent scoring form.
First Half Goal: Strong chance of early action based on historical trends.
15:00 – Leicester v Fulham – 1.95 Fulham
- Leicester City hosts Fulham at the King Power Stadium this Saturday in a Premier League matchup that pits two teams desperate to end winless streaks. The Foxes have struggled in recent weeks, finding themselves in 19th place and two points from safety, while Fulham, though more stable in ninth, have faltered with just one win in their last five league games.
- Leicester City’s Form and Challenges
- Leicester’s issues are clear: they have lost their last six matches and are winless in seven. Defensive frailties have plagued them, with the Foxes failing to keep a clean sheet in 14 consecutive games. Both at home and away, they have consistently conceded two or more goals, including in their last seven matches. Scoring has also dried up recently, with Leicester failing to net in their last three home games.
- Despite their struggles, Leicester has found the back of the net in 8 of their 10 away games this season and scored in 5 of their last 6 meetings against Fulham. Jamie Vardy leads their scoring efforts with six goals, but the lack of support has contributed to their poor performances.
- Fulham’s Recent Run
- Fulham heads into this match following a 3-2 defeat to West Ham, which ended an eight-match unbeaten streak. The Cottagers have been more consistent in attack, scoring in each of their last nine away games and netting two or more goals in their last four matches. However, defensive vulnerabilities have also been apparent, as they have conceded two or more goals in their last three games.
- Their ability to score in the second half has been a hallmark, with goals in the second 45 minutes in each of their last nine away games. Raúl Jiménez and Alex Iwobi have been their standout players, contributing 15 goals between them this season.
- Key Stats and Betting Insights
- Over 2.5 Goals: 71% of Leicester’s matches and Fulham’s last five games have seen three or more goals.
- Both Teams to Score: Leicester has scored in 8 of their 10 away matches, and Fulham has found the net in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- First-Half Goals: Fulham’s last five matches have featured at least one first-half goal.
- Fulham’s Edge in Head-to-Head: Fulham has won the last three meetings against Leicester, outscoring them 8-4.
- Predicted Outcome and Betting Angles
- Based on form and statistics, Fulham enters this match as the slight favorite. Leicester’s leaky defense and inability to score at home contrast sharply with Fulham’s scoring consistency. Expect goals in this encounter, with Fulham likely to edge it.
- Predicted Score: Fulham 2-1 Leicester City
- Betting Angles:
- Over 2.5 goals
- Both teams to score
- A goal to be scored in the first half
- Key Stats Summary
- Leicester has failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 consecutive matches.
- Fulham has scored in each of their last nine away games.
- Fulham’s last five games have featured more goals in the second half.
- Leicester has conceded two or more goals in each of their last seven matches.
- 71% of Leicester’s matches have had over 2.5 goals.
- Betting Insights
- Over 2.5 Goals: Likely based on both teams’ scoring and defensive records.
- Both Teams to Score: Leicester’s home scoring record and Fulham’s attacking form make this probable.
- First-Half Goal: Highly likely given Fulham’s recent pattern of early goals.
15:00 – West Ham v Crystal Palace – 2.50 West Ham
- London Derby, New West Ham Manager suggests caution
- West Ham United host Crystal Palace at the London Stadium on Saturday in a London derby that promises drama as both sides look to climb the Premier League table. While West Ham seek their first consecutive league wins under new manager Graham Potter, Crystal Palace aim to extend their impressive unbeaten away run.
- West Ham’s Form and Challenges
- West Ham are fresh off a hard-fought 3-2 victory over Fulham, marking Potter’s first win in charge. That result snapped a brief winless run, and the Hammers are now aiming to secure back-to-back Premier League victories for the first time since March 2024.
- At home, West Ham have been inconsistent, with 14 points from 11 games. Defensive frailties remain a concern as they’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five home matches and conceded two or more goals in their last three league games. However, West Ham have been prolific in attack, scoring in their last five home matches and in 9 of their 10 away matches.
- Key players such as Tomáš Sou?ek and Lucas Paquetá have stepped up recently. Sou?ek has five league goals this season and a history of strong performances against Crystal Palace, while Paquetá has found the net in consecutive games.
- Crystal Palace’s Momentum
- Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last six away league matches, a streak not seen since February 1992. Their recent 2-0 win over Leicester City showcased their defensive solidity and attacking efficiency, making it just one loss in their last 10 league outings (W4, D5).
- The Eagles have been resilient on the road, earning three wins and four draws in 10 away matches this season. Even more impressive, they’ve remained unbeaten in their last five Premier League visits to West Ham, often coming from behind to secure results.
- Jean-Philippe Mateta and Ismaïla Sarr lead the Palace attack, with Mateta netting six goals this season, supported by Sarr’s four. Defensively, captain Marc Guéhi has been pivotal, especially in set-piece situations.
- Head-to-Head and Historical Context
- West Ham and Crystal Palace have a long-standing rivalry, with the Hammers winning the reverse fixture 2-0 earlier this season. Tomáš Sou?ek and Jarrod Bowen were on the scoresheet in that victory. However, Palace has had the upper hand in recent visits to the London Stadium, remaining unbeaten in their last five trips (W2, D3).
- Predicted Outcome and Betting Angles
- Given both teams’ recent form, this match is expected to be closely contested. West Ham’s defensive issues and Palace’s away resilience suggest goals on both sides. The visitors’ unbeaten away streak and ability to recover from setbacks make them slight favorites for a narrow win.
- Predicted Score: Crystal Palace 2-1 West Ham United
- Betting Angles:
- Over 2.5 goals
- Both teams to score
- A goal to be scored in the first half
- Key Stats Summary
- West Ham have scored in their last 21 Premier League matches against Crystal Palace.
- Palace are unbeaten in their last six away league matches.
- West Ham have conceded at least two goals in their last three league games.
- Both teams have scored in West Ham’s last seven home Premier League matches against Crystal Palace.
- Palace have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches this season.
- Three of West Ham’s last four home matches have featured a goal after the 70th minute.
17:30 – Arsenal v Aston Villa – 1.50 Arsenal
- Arsenal host Aston Villa at the Emirates Stadium on Saturday as both teams aim to extend their unbeaten Premier League streaks. Arsenal look to keep pressure on league leaders Liverpool, while Aston Villa chase a spot in European competition for next season.
Arsenal’s Dominance and Form
The Gunners are in exceptional form, currently on an 11-match unbeaten run. Sitting second in the table with 43 points, Arsenal remain undefeated at home this season with seven wins and three draws from 10 matches. A recent 2-1 victory over Tottenham highlighted their resilience, even when conceding early.
Arsenal’s attacking depth has been a key factor, with Kai Havertz leading the way with seven goals, and Gabriel Martinelli and Bukayo Saka contributing five each. The Gunners have also scored in 9 of their 11 away matches this season, showing consistency across venues.
However, Arsenal have conceded the first goal in their last three home games, exposing a vulnerability that Aston Villa might exploit.
Aston Villa’s Resilience on the Road
Aston Villa come into this match in seventh place with 35 points, just two points shy of a Europa League spot. They’re unbeaten in their last three league matches and recently secured a gritty 1-0 win over Everton at Goodison Park.
While Villa have struggled for consistency on the road this season (four wins, one draw, and five losses), they remain unbeaten in their last 10 home matches. Notably, they’ve conceded in 9 of their 11 away matches, highlighting defensive frailties that Arsenal’s potent attack could exploit.
Ollie Watkins and Jhon Durán have been standout performers for Villa, scoring nine and seven goals, respectively. However, Villa’s record of receiving early bookings—such as their first card in the last six away games—indicates a tendency toward indiscipline in challenging away fixtures.
Head-to-Head Record
Arsenal triumphed 2-0 in their last meeting with Aston Villa in August at Villa Park, with Leandro Trossard and Thomas Partey finding the net. Historically, matches between these two have leaned towards high drama, with 9 of their last 10 encounters featuring four or more yellow cards.
Predicted Outcome and Betting Angles
Arsenal’s home dominance and attacking firepower make them clear favorites, though Aston Villa’s resilience could pose challenges. A narrow victory for the Gunners is likely, with goals expected on both sides.
Predicted Score: Arsenal 2-1 Aston Villa
Betting Angles:Over 2.5 goals
Both teams to score
A goal to be scored in the first half
Key Stats Summary
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 11 matches.
Arsenal have scored in each of their last six away matches.
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 10 home matches.
71% of Aston Villa’s matches have featured over 2.5 goals this season.
Aston Villa have received the first card in their last six away matches.
9 of the last 10 Arsenal vs. Aston Villa matches have seen four or more cards.
Arsenal have conceded the first goal in their last three home matches.
Betting Insights
Over 2.5 Goals: Likely, given Arsenal’s attacking form and Villa’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Both Teams to Score: Strong possibility based on both sides’ recent scoring trends.
First-Half Goal: Probable, as Arsenal and Villa have been involved in early action in recent fixtures.
