HamKam VS Lillestrom
Seasonal Form
HamKam (Home): HamKam has established an incredibly formidable home record this season, securing 4 wins from 5 games (2.40 PPG). At home, they maintain a prolific scoring average of 2.00 goals per game, finding the net in 100% of their fixtures. Defensively, they concede 1.40 goals per match, showing some vulnerability despite their offensive prowess.
Lillestrom (Away): Lillestrom has been highly efficient on their travels, ranking as one of the best away sides in the division with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat (2.00 PPG). Their away setup is defined by outstanding defensive discipline, conceding only 0.60 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 60% of their road trips, though their attacking output remains conservative at 1.20 goals scored per match.
Streaks & Sequences
Home @ Home: HamKam is currently on a 3-match winning streak at home in the league.
Away @ Away: Lillestrom’s undefeated away run was recently broken by a 2-0 defeat at Rosenborg.
Pattern: Both teams are coming off a defeat in their most recent league fixture, looking to bounce back.
Ultra-Recent Form (Last 4 Matches Isolated)
With 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches (W-D-W-L), HamKam has exhibited competitive but slightly fluctuating momentum. They started this run with a resilient 2-1 home victory against Start, followed by a hard-fought 1-1 draw on the road at Kristiansund. They followed this up with a narrow 1-0 clean sheet win over Valerenga back at home, before suffering a disappointing 2-1 away loss at Fredrikstad. Comparing this isolated sequence to their broader season shows that their home dominance (PPG 2.40) remains the bedrock of their points tally, while their away deficiencies continue to hold them back from climbing higher.
Inconsistent and struggling to build concrete momentum with 2 wins and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches (W-L-W-L), Lillestrom has experienced a turbulent spell. A resounding 4-0 home demolition of Sarpsborg 08 was quickly neutralized by a disappointing 2-0 defeat away at Rosenborg. Although they bounced back with a 3-1 home win over Sandefjord, they suffered another setback in their most recent fixture, falling 2-1 at home to Kristiansund. This recent turbulence contrasts with their highly disciplined seasonal away form where they have averaged a stellar 2.00 PPG, suggesting a sudden vulnerability that makes them less reliable than their season-long metrics imply.
League Position Intelligence
Home (v Similar Rank): Against top-half teams, HamKam has shown mixed results, having lost heavily 1-5 to Brann at home, but they have consistently beaten bottom-half sides at home.
Away (v Similar Rank): Lillestrom has proved highly capable against top-tier opponents on the road, picking up a massive 1-0 win at Molde and a 2-0 win at Valerenga.
Goal Timing Patterns
Home Timing: HamKam’s goal scoring is evenly distributed between halves, but they have a tendency to score late, with 38% of their total goals coming in the final 15 minutes of matches.
Away Timing: Lillestrom is heavily active late in away matches, scoring 83% of their away goals in the second half. Crucially, they have kept a clean sheet in the second half of all away games this season.
Final Analysis Verdict
Quantitative Reasoning
“This matchup presents a classic clash of strengths. HamKam boasts a spectacular 2.40 PPG at home, while Lillestrom answers with an equally impressive 2.00 PPG away from home, backed by a robust defense that concedes only 0.60 goals per game on the road. Both teams are highly motivated to recover from their respective defeats in the last round. Given Lillestrom’s tactical resilience away and HamKam’s home superiority, they are likely to neutralize each other in a tightly contested draw.”