Good session yesterday. Day off today. Songkran here so I might indulge in a water fight or two. Ladyboy pageant tomorrow. I’ve got you all tickets.
Review/Preview : https://youtu.be/oblB8bFdiPw
Live: Day off
ENGLAND: Premier League
20:00 – Bournemouth v Fulham – 2.00 Bournemouth
Premier League Preview: Bournemouth vs Fulham
Kick-off: 20:00 | Venue: Vitality Stadium | Monday Night Football
Fulham’s push for a Europa League spot continues on Monday night as they make the trip down to the south coast to face a struggling Bournemouth side who are looking to avoid an unwanted piece of club history. With just three points separating the sides and seven games remaining, the stakes are high in this intriguing mid-table clash.
Fulham, currently eighth on 48 points, are just five behind fifth-placed Newcastle United as they aim to break into Europe. Bournemouth sit 10th on 45 points but find themselves eight points off the European places. A win for either side would keep hopes alive, but form and momentum are telling a different story.
? Form Check & Tactical Outlook
The Cottagers arrive at the Vitality Stadium with confidence after a thrilling 3-2 win over Liverpool last time out. They’ve been inconsistent of late, alternating between wins and losses in their last seven league matches (W4, L3). However, after such a high-profile victory, Marco Silva’s side will be eager to string together back-to-back league wins for just the fourth time this season.
Bournemouth, meanwhile, are in the midst of a rough patch, failing to win any of their last six Premier League games (D2, L4) and losing each of their last four home matches. Another defeat would mark a club-record five consecutive top-flight home losses—a stat they’ll be desperate to avoid. That said, history favours the Cherries slightly in this fixture; they’ve won their last two home league meetings with Fulham and have a decent Monday night record at home.
Justin Kluivert and Evanilson are Bournemouth’s key threats, having combined for 21 goals this season. Kluivert has opened the scoring three times, while Evanilson is one goal shy of joining an elite group of Brazilians to score 10+ in their debut Premier League campaign.
For Fulham, the Brazilian trio of Raúl Jiménez (10), Rodrigo Muniz (8), and Alex Iwobi (8) have led the way. Muniz is especially one to watch—he could become the second Brazilian after Richarlison to score in four consecutive Premier League matches.
Despite their poor away form recently, Fulham have been prolific on the road, scoring in each of their last 14 away matches. Interestingly, they’ve performed just as well away against top-half teams as they have against lower-ranked sides, making this Bournemouth test all the more unpredictable.
? Key Stats
- Fulham have scored in 14 of their 15 away games this season.
- Fulham are unbeaten at HT in 9 away matches this season.
- Bournemouth have lost 4 straight home games, last winning at Vitality on February 1.
- Bournemouth have conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- Bournemouth have not kept a clean sheet in 8 consecutive games.
- Bournemouth have scored 63% of their goals away from home, struggling for potency at Vitality.
- Fulham have scored 34% of their goals after the 75th minute, while Bournemouth have netted 35% in the same period.
- Fulham and Bournemouth drew 2-2 in their last meeting at Craven Cottage.
- Evanilson (9 goals) & Kluivert (12 goals) are Bournemouth’s top threats.
- Rodrigo Muniz could score in 4 straight games, matching a Richarlison record.
? Predictions & Betting Angles
? Over 2.5 Goals – YES
Both teams have attacking quality and defensive vulnerabilities. Bournemouth have conceded at least two in each of their last five matches, and Fulham are fresh off scoring three against Liverpool. Their last meeting ended 2-2, and both sides average well over one goal per game.
? Both Teams to Score – YES
Given Bournemouth’s inability to keep clean sheets and Fulham’s strong scoring record on the road, it’s hard to see either team blanking. Bournemouth have scored in 14 of their last 16 away matches and should be able to find the net at home, while Fulham are on a 14-game away scoring streak.
? Goal Before Halftime – YES
Fulham’s games often start cagey (league-high nine away matches level at HT), but Bournemouth’s defensive issues mean there’s likely to be an early breakthrough. Both teams have capable first-goal scorers in Kluivert and Muniz, and the high stakes could lead to an open first half.
? Final Verdict:
This game has all the ingredients for an entertaining affair: leaky defences, in-form forwards, and European dreams on the line. Fulham come into this with confidence, while Bournemouth are desperate to snap a dreadful home run. Expect goals, tension, and drama on the south coast.
Score Prediction: Bournemouth 1-2 Fulham
ENGLAND: Championship
20:00 – Hull v Coventry – 2.55 Coventry
•Championship Preview: Hull City vs Coventry City
Kick-off: 20:00 | Venue: MKM Stadium, Hull | Monday, Round 42
As the Championship season hits the home stretch, Hull City welcome Coventry City to the MKM Stadium for a crucial Monday night showdown. With both teams chasing vastly different goals—Hull fighting to avoid the drop and Coventry aiming to cement their play-off spot—this fixture promises tension, grit, and potentially drama under the lights.
? The State of Play
Hull City come into this clash sitting 19th with 44 points, perilously close to the relegation zone. A defeat here could be disastrous, especially with just five matches left to play. Their form has been patchy—two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six—and their most recent outing ended in a narrow 1-0 defeat at Watford.
Coventry City, meanwhile, are holding on to sixth place with 62 points. They’re just two points ahead of Middlesbrough and know that a win here could be pivotal in securing a play-off position. A hard-fought 1-0 victory over Portsmouth last time out showed their resilience, but inconsistency remains a concern, with three wins and three defeats in their last six.
?? Head-to-Head Snapshot
These sides are familiar foes, and the recent history between them is tight. In the last five Championship meetings:
- Hull have won 2
- Coventry have won 1
- 2 have ended in draws
The reverse fixture in December saw Coventry edge a 2-1 win at home, with goals from Ephron Mason-Clark and Jack Rudoni, while João Pedro was Hull’s lone scorer.
? Players to Watch
- Haji Wright (Coventry) – The Sky Blues’ top marksman with 11 goals, including four openers, and a constant threat with his movement and finishing.
- Jack Rudoni – Fourth-highest assist provider in the league with 11, orchestrating much of Coventry’s attacking flow.
- João Pedro (Hull) – The Tigers’ leading scorer with six goals and a regular bright spark in an otherwise underwhelming attack.
- Charlie Hughes – Ever-present in Hull’s last five matches, providing defensive solidity.
Injuries to Louie Barry and Mohamed Belloumi (both knee) could hamper Hull’s already limited offensive options.
? Key Stats
- 68% of Hull’s league matches have seen under 2.5 goals
- Hull have scored just 40 goals in 41 games – 3rd fewest in the league
- Hull have conceded in 18 of 20 home matches
- Hull have won just 4 of 20 home matches this season
- Coventry have scored 58 goals – 4th best attack in the league
- Coventry are among the top 3 for total goal attempts (556 in 46 matches)
- Coventry have scored in their last 4 away matches against Hull
- Hull failed to win 7 of their last 8 home league games vs Coventry
- No first-half goal in Hull’s last 5 matches, but Coventry have seen 1st half goals in 10 straight away games
- Hull have scored 35% of their goals after the 75th minute
? Predictions & Betting Angles
? Over 2.5 Goals – NO
Despite Coventry’s attacking threat, Hull’s matches are notoriously low-scoring. 68% of their games finish under 2.5 goals, and they’re in the bottom three for goals scored. Coventry haven’t scored more than twice against Hull in any of their last 9 league meetings. Unless Hull collapse defensively, this may be another tight affair.
? Both Teams to Score – YES
History leans in favour here—both teams have scored in the last five H2H meetings, and Coventry’s ability to create chances should be enough to test Hull’s leaky backline (conceded in 18 of 20 at home). Despite Hull’s goal struggles, they tend to find the net in key moments, particularly late in games.
? Goal Before Halftime – YES
While Hull have been notoriously slow starters (no first-half goals in five straight), Coventry’s away games are lively early on—at least one first-half goal in each of their last 10 on the road. Given what’s at stake, an early breakthrough is likely from the visitors.
? Final Verdict
This fixture pits a toothless home side against a playoff-chasing outfit who can be hit or miss on the road. Coventry’s attack should have enough to carve through Hull, but don’t expect a goal-fest—unless Hull are forced to chase. Hull’s late-goal trend could see a nervy finish, but the Sky Blues may just edge it with more firepower and confidence.
Score Prediction: Hull City 1-2 Coventry City